Assessing DoorDash (DASH) Valuation After New Family Dollar Partnership Targets Budget Shoppers

Simply Wall St.

Jan 13

DoorDash (DASH) recently announced a partnership with Family Dollar to deliver affordable household essentials from thousands of stores, which puts cost-conscious shoppers and the company’s approach ...

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See our latest analysis for DoorDash. The Family Dollar partnership arrives after a period of weaker momentum in the share price, with a 90 day share price return of a 20.3% decline and a year to date share price return of a 1.9% decline. However, the 1 year total shareholder return of 28.0% and very large 3 year total shareholder return suggest longer term holders have still seen substantial gains. If this focus on affordability has you thinking more broadly about consumer names, it could be a good moment to scan fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other fast growing businesses where insiders are strongly invested in the outcome. With DoorDash trading at US$215.56, sitting on a 28.0% 1 year total return and showing a value score of 3 alongside an estimated 41.3% intrinsic discount, you have to ask: is there still upside here, or is the market already baking in the growth story? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 22.0% Undervalued With DoorDash last closing at US$215.56 against a most-followed fair value estimate of US$276.39, the narrative frames a sizeable valuation gap that hinges on ambitious growth, margin expansion and a relatively rich future earnings multiple.  Analysts expect earnings to reach $3.2 billion (and earnings per share of $6.95) by about September 2028, up from $781.0 million today. However, there is a considerable amount of disagreement amongst the analysts with the most bullish expecting $3.9 billion in earnings, and the most bearish expecting $1.7 billion.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue ramp, margin profile and premium P/E multiple are baked into that earnings path and fair value? The narrative leans on a detailed set of forecasts that link faster top line growth, higher profitability and a strong terminal valuation to that price target. Result: Fair Value of $276.39 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, heavier investment that pressures margins, or slower progress from Deliveroo and newer verticals, could challenge the earnings path implied by that 22.0% undervaluation story. Find out about the key risks to this DoorDash narrative. Another View: Valuation Tension Our model flags DoorDash as expensive on earnings, with a P/E of 107.7x versus a peer average of 36.2x and a fair ratio of 50.1x. That gap points to a lot of optimism already in the price, so how comfortable are you with that level of valuation risk? See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NasdaqGS:DASH P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own DoorDash Narrative If you look at the numbers and come to a different conclusion, or simply prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build a custom view of DoorDash in just a few minutes with Do it your way A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding DoorDash. Looking for more investment ideas? If you are weighing DoorDash and similar stories, it makes sense to compare them with a wider set of opportunities before you decide where to focus next.  Spot potential value by checking out these 886 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that align with your expectations on cash flows and pricing. Zero in on income opportunities through these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% if steady yields are near the top of your priorities. Get exposure to digital trends by scanning these 79 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks tied to blockchain, payments, and broader crypto adoption.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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