星展集团利率策略师Eugene Leow报告称,在美国市场休市期间,德国国债收益率曲线隔夜走势反映出,在美国总统特朗普提出与格陵兰相关的关税后,市场预期欧盟将增加军费开支。他称,避险情绪推动收益率曲线前端走低,但长端收益率则因市场担心会有额外的支出而下跌,导致收益率曲线变陡。他还指出,在当前情况下,“资金涌入政府债券(美国国债或欧洲政府债券)避险的做法可能不会那么奏效。“金融脱钩(即欧洲经济体减持美国资产)是一种风险,这加剧了人们的担忧,认为美国国债“不再像过去那样被视为安全资产。取而代之的是,避险需求转向了贵金属“,例如黄金和白银。
责任编辑:王永生
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