Assessing Polaris (PII) Valuation After Mixed Recent Share Performance

Simply Wall St.

Jan 19

AdvertisementWhat Polaris stock’s recent performance tells you With no single headline event driving Polaris (PII) today, many investors are instead looking at how the stock has behaved recently and ...

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Its 1-year total shareholder return of 33.10% contrasts with weaker 3- and...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK6008":"电脑与电子产品零售","5BI.SI":"POLARIS公司","BK4190":"消闲用品","BK6514":"零售商股","PII":"北极星"},"translate_title":"在近期股价表现好坏参半后评估北极星(PII)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"PII":1.5,"5BI.SI":0.9},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhat Polaris stock’s recent performance tells you With no single headline event driving Polaris (PII) today, many investors are instead looking at how the stock has behaved recently and how that lines up with the company’s latest fundamentals. See our latest analysis for Polaris. At a share price of $69.95, Polaris has seen a 1-day share price return of a 1.19% decline and a 7-day share price return of a 2.71% decline. Its 1-year total shareholder return of 33.10% contrasts with weaker 3- and 5-year total shareholder returns, suggesting recent momentum has picked up compared with a tougher longer term track record. If this kind of mixed performance has you thinking about where else capital could work, it might be a good time to scout auto manufacturers for other vehicle related names on your radar. With the shares around $69.95 and recent returns mixed against a weaker multi year record, the key question now is simple: are you looking at an undervalued powersports leader or a stock where the market already sees the road ahead? Most Popular Narrative: 6.3% Overvalued With Polaris closing at $69.95 and the most followed narrative pointing to a fair value around $65.83, the story hinges on how future earnings reshape that gap. Polaris is executing on new product launches and innovations, such as the digital helm in their boating lineup, which are aimed at enhancing their portfolio and driving future sales growth. Dealer feedback indicates a strong partnership and alignment with Polaris' strategic initiatives, which points to effective inventory management and the potential to stabilize and eventually increase market share over time. Read the complete narrative. Curious how modest revenue growth, a swing from losses to profits, and a higher future P/E all fit together? The narrative connects those moving parts into one valuation story. Result: Fair Value of $65.83 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, you still need to weigh risks such as tariff-related cost pressure and a 16% drop in international sales, which could challenge the current overvaluation story. Find out about the key risks to this Polaris narrative. Another Way to Look at Polaris’ Value Our DCF model presents a far tougher picture than the narrative fair value of $65.83. On this view, Polaris at $69.95 is trading well above an estimated fair value of about $7.19. This signals a wide gap that you need to judge for yourself: story or spreadsheet? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. PII Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own Polaris Narrative If you look at the numbers and come to a different conclusion, or simply want to test your own view, you can build a custom thesis in just a few minutes: Do it your way. A great starting point for your Polaris research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Ready to uncover more investment ideas? If Polaris has you thinking harder about where your money works hardest, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist now before fresh opportunities move away from you.  Spot potential value candidates early by scanning these 873 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that may have prices lagging their underlying cash flow strength. Target future facing themes by checking out these 24 AI penny stocks tied to artificial intelligence, automation, and data driven products and services. Collect ideas for regular income by reviewing these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that offer yields above 3% and may complement growth focused holdings.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}