Boss Energy (ASX:BOE) Valuation Check After Goldman Sachs Sell Rating And Honeymoon Project Concerns

Simply Wall St.

Jan 16

Boss Energy (ASX:BOE) is under scrutiny after Goldman Sachs issued a Sell rating, highlighting concerns around the operational efficiency and financial viability of the Honeymoon uranium project and ...

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This hints that long...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":["rate"],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BOE":"黑岩全球成长基金","BOE.AU":"BOSS ENERGY LTD"},"translate_title":"高盛卖出评级和蜜月项目担忧后，Boss Energy(ASX：BOE)进行估值检查","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"BOE":1.5,"BOE.AU":1.5},"content_text":"Boss Energy (ASX:BOE) is under scrutiny after Goldman Sachs issued a Sell rating, highlighting concerns around the operational efficiency and financial viability of the Honeymoon uranium project and the withdrawal of its Enhanced Feasibility Study. See our latest analysis for Boss Energy. At a share price of A$1.58, Boss Energy has seen a 13.4% decline over the past 90 days, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 44.8% loss contrasts with a 103.6% gain over 5 years. This hints that long term holders still sit on substantial gains even as recent sentiment has weakened following the Honeymoon project concerns and feasibility study withdrawal. If this kind of uranium related volatility has you reassessing your options, it could be a good time to broaden your search with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With the share price under pressure, analysts cautious and an intrinsic value estimate suggesting a large discount, the key question now is whether Boss Energy is undervalued or if the market is already pricing in any future recovery. AdvertisementPrice-to-Sales of 8.7x: Is it justified? On a P/S of 8.7x, Boss Energy screens as expensive against its own estimated fair level, even though the last close sits at A$1.58. P/S compares the company’s market value to its revenue, which can be useful when earnings are negative, as is the case with Boss Energy’s current loss of A$34.168 million. Here, the SWS fair P/S ratio is 0.7x, so the current 8.7x level is very high by that yardstick and implies the market is assigning a much richer value than the regression based fair ratio suggests. Against peers, however, Boss Energy’s 8.7x P/S is described as good value relative to both the Australian Oil and Gas industry average of 8.9x and a peer average of 13.8x. This points to a market that is pricing the stock more conservatively than similar companies, even if it sits well above the level the fair ratio model indicates the market could move towards. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Boss Energy Result: Price-to-Sales of 8.7x (OVERVALUED) However, you still have to factor in execution risk at Honeymoon after the feasibility study withdrawal and the A$34.168 million loss, which could further pressure sentiment. Find out about the key risks to this Boss Energy narrative. Another View: DCF Suggests A Different Story While the 8.7x P/S ratio looks rich against the 0.7x fair ratio, our DCF model indicates a contrasting perspective. At A$1.58, Boss Energy is assessed as trading around 64.9% below an estimated fair value of A$4.50, raising the question of whether sentiment has swung too far. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. BOE Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Boss Energy for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 868 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Boss Energy Narrative If you are not convinced by this view or prefer to weigh the numbers yourself, you can build a custom thesis in minutes with Do it your way. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Boss Energy. Ready for more investment ideas? If you stop with just one stock, you risk missing other opportunities. Take a few minutes now to scan a wider field of ideas with the tools below.  Spot potential value by checking out these 868 undervalued stocks based on cash flows which might be priced below what their cash flows suggest. Explore powerful tech trends by scanning these 24 AI penny stocks that are applying artificial intelligence to real world problems. Target income focused opportunities with these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that currently offer yields above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Boss Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"shareholding","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}