Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) Valuation Check After Strong December Quarter Uranium Production And Sales Update

Simply Wall St.

Jan 22

Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) is back in focus after its December quarter update, where uranium output and sales at the Langer Heinrich mine rose strongly and management indicated that production is ...

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The 1 year total shareholder return of 43.31% and very large 5...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":["earning"],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"PDN":"Invesco RAFI Developed Markets ex-U.S. Small-Mid ETF","UEC":"Uranium Energy Corp","PDN.AU":"PALADIN ENERGY LTD"},"translate_title":"Paladin Energy(ASX：PDN)在12月季度铀生产和销售强劲更新后进行估值检查","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"UEC":1.5,"PDN":1.5,"PDN.AU":1.5},"content_text":"Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) is back in focus after its December quarter update, where uranium output and sales at the Langer Heinrich mine rose strongly and management indicated that production is tracking towards the upper end of guidance. See our latest analysis for Paladin Energy. The strong quarterly update has arrived alongside rapid share price momentum, with a 1 month share price return of 35.35% and a 90 day gain of 56.97%. The 1 year total shareholder return of 43.31% and very large 5 year total shareholder return suggest longer term holders have also seen substantial gains, indicating that momentum has been building rather than fading. If this kind of uranium led rally has you thinking about where else growth stories might be forming, it could be worth scanning fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as a way to spot other fast moving names. With Paladin now at a 52 week high, trading around A$13.17 and sitting above the average analyst price target, the key question is whether uranium optimism has pushed the stock ahead of itself or if the market is still underestimating its future growth potential. AdvertisementPrice-to-Sales of 23.5x: Is it justified? At A$13.17, Paladin Energy is trading on a P/S of 23.5x, which sits well above both its Australian Oil and Gas peers and its own estimated fair level. The P/S ratio compares the company’s market value to its revenue and is often used for businesses that are still unprofitable, as is the case here. For Paladin, this means investors are currently paying a high price for each dollar of sales, which suggests the market is pricing in strong revenue and profitability expectations. Against the Australian Oil and Gas industry average P/S of 9.2x, Paladin’s 23.5x multiple is more than twice as high. Compared to the peer average of 3.6x it is far higher again. The estimated fair P/S ratio of 1.8x indicates a level the valuation could move towards if sentiment or expectations change. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Paladin Energy Result: Price-to-Sales of 23.5x (OVERVALUED) However, investors still need to weigh uranium price volatility and Paladin’s current net loss of $45.097 million as potential brakes on the recent share price momentum. Find out about the key risks to this Paladin Energy narrative. Another View: Our DCF Model Paints A Harsher Picture While the rich 23.5x P/S ratio already suggests Paladin is priced for big expectations, our DCF model goes even further. It points to a future cash flow value of A$0.49 per share versus the current A$13.17 price, which implies the stock is trading well above that estimate. If both metrics are signaling stretch, how comfortable are you with that valuation gap? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. PDN Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Paladin Energy for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 881 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Paladin Energy Narrative If you see the numbers differently or prefer to work through the data on your own terms, you can shape a fresh view in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward investors are optimistic about regarding Paladin Energy. Looking for more investment ideas? If you are serious about finding your next opportunity, do not stop at a single stock, use the screener to see where the numbers are pointing right now.  Spot potential bargains by zeroing in on these 881 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that might not yet be on everyone’s radar. Back stronger income potential by scanning these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that could add more consistent cash flow to your portfolio. Get ahead of the next wave in finance by checking these 19 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks shaping the future of digital assets and blockchain adoption.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}