Peninsula Energy (ASX:PEN) Valuation Check As Lance Reset Progresses Ahead Of Schedule

Simply Wall St.

Jan 26

AdvertisementWhy Peninsula Energy is back on investors’ radars Peninsula Energy (ASX:PEN) has kicked off the acidification phase at the Lance uranium project ahead of schedule, marking a fresh ...

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However, the 1 year total shareholder...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"PEN.AU":"PENINSULA ENERGY LTD","PEN":"Penumbra Inc","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4082":"医疗保健设备","BK7083":"煤与消费用燃料"},"translate_title":"随着兰斯重置提前进行，半岛能源(ASX：PEN)估值检查","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"PEN.AU":1.5,"PEN":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy Peninsula Energy is back on investors’ radars Peninsula Energy (ASX:PEN) has kicked off the acidification phase at the Lance uranium project ahead of schedule, marking a fresh production reset that centers on redesigned wellfields and upgraded central processing facilities. See our latest analysis for Peninsula Energy. The ahead of schedule reset at Lance comes as Peninsula’s A$1.01 share price posts a 6.88% 1 day and 55.38% 30 day share price return. However, the 1 year total shareholder return of 11.03% and 3 year total shareholder return of 54.91% indicate that, despite recent momentum, longer term holders have experienced sizeable drawdowns as sentiment around uranium development risk has shifted over time. If this kind of project reset has your attention, it can be a useful moment to widen your watchlist and look at aerospace and defense stocks as another corner of the market tied to government and security related demand. With Peninsula delivering rapid share price gains but still trading below some valuation estimates, you have to ask yourself: is this uranium developer still misunderstood by the market, or is the current price already baking in future growth? Preferred Price-to-Book of 1.7x: Is it justified? On a simple yardstick, Peninsula Energy's A$1.01 share price lines up with a P/B of 1.7x that screens as \"good value\" against both peers and the wider Australian Oil and Gas industry. The P/B ratio compares the market value of the company to its accounting book value, which is often used when earnings are negative or volatile. For a uranium developer like Peninsula that currently reports no revenue and an annual net loss of $12.495m, book value can act as a rough anchor while the business is still pre production. According to the data, Peninsula's 1.7x P/B sits well below the peer average of 10.4x and slightly below the broader Australian Oil and Gas industry average of 1.8x. That gap to peers suggests investors are pricing Peninsula more conservatively than many companies in its space. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. Result: Price-to-book of 1.7x (UNDERVALUED) However, you also need to keep in mind the uranium development risk at Lance and Peninsula’s history of 1 year and 3 year negative shareholder returns. Find out about the key risks to this Peninsula Energy narrative. Another way to look at value While the 1.7x P/B ratio presents Peninsula as inexpensive relative to peers, our DCF model suggests a different perspective. On that basis, the A$1.01 price sits well below an A$4.03 future cash flow value estimate, which also indicates Peninsula may be undervalued, but for different reasons. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. PEN Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Peninsula Energy for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 874 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Peninsula Energy Narrative If you look at this and think you would weigh the data differently, or simply want to test your own assumptions, you can build a personalised view in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Peninsula Energy research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Peninsula has caught your eye, do not stop there. The market is full of other opportunities that could fit your style and goals just as well.  Scan for potential mispriced opportunities by checking out these 874 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that may not be on every investor’s radar yet. Ride the momentum of emerging technology by reviewing these 23 AI penny stocks that are building real use cases around artificial intelligence. Target income focused ideas by sifting through these 13 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that currently offer yields above 3%.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}