煤炭股普升 中国神华(01088)涨3.39% 机构指短期板块回调后已凸显出较高的投资价值

金吾财讯
Jan 26

金吾财讯 | 煤炭股普升,中国神华(01088)涨3.39%,兖矿能源(01171)涨3.06%,蒙古能源(00276)涨2.90%,中煤能源(01898)涨2.18%,MONGOL MINING(00975)涨0.95%,力量发展(01277)涨0.62%。

据央视新闻报道,我国最新印发了《煤炭清洁高效利用重点领域标杆水平和基准水平(2025年版)》,推动煤炭产业由低端向高端、煤炭产品由初级燃料向高价值产品攀升。中国煤炭工业协会数据显示,我国煤化工原料耗煤量正以每年2000万至3000万吨的规模持续增长。新标准进一步明确将燃煤发电供热煤耗、煤制天然气等纳入能效管控重点领域,设立标杆与基准水平,此举将有力推动煤炭从燃料向原料的应用拓展。

信达证券表示,总体上,能源大通胀背景下,该机构认为未来 3-5 年煤炭供需偏紧的格局仍未改变,优质煤炭企业依然具有高壁垒、高现金、高分红、高股息的属性,叠加煤价筑底推动板块估值重塑,板块投资攻守兼备且具有高性价比,短期板块回调后已凸显出较高的投资价值,再度建议重点关注现阶段煤炭的配置机遇。

开源证券认为,“反内卷”重塑煤炭核心价值,周期与红利攻守兼备。煤炭曾经是传统的周期股无疑,但随着地缘政治、“双碳”政策、煤和电盈利平衡等多因素的影响下,煤炭的周期属性弱化已是事实,煤炭已体现出红利和周期的双重属性。在经济偏弱和市场整体收益率下行的背景下,煤炭作为高股息红利的代表,仍旧是市场最为认可的价值资产;如政策助力和市场调节致使供需短期错配,煤炭股随着煤价的变动仍有望凸显出周期属性。周期与红利双重属性,有望让煤炭成为市场资金最优先的配置资产。

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