嘉信金融:2026年美国通胀将有上行风险 美联储或仅降息两至三次

智通财经
Yesterday

智通财经APP获悉,嘉信金融研究中心宏观研究及策略主管Kevin Gordon表示,若财政支持扩大、劳动市场保持稳定、消费支出得以维持,2026年美国通胀将有些上行风险,这可能将美联储的降息次数限制在两至三次。谈及2026年经济前景展望,他认为,全球正身处一个持续变动的均衡状态当中,这导致资金于不同投资风格之间的快速转移,以及板块内部出现高度分散。

Kevin Gordon指出,人工智能(AI)继续主导资本配置和企业策略,但其投资影响正趋于成熟,股价未来能否持续走高,取决于其估值能否有实质的盈利增长支持,而非单靠投机去推动,故稳健的盈利将是支持股价的关键,尤其是部分板块表现已领先其他。

嘉信理财香港理财顾问郭明燊称,即使美联储持续下调短期利率,固定收益资产的收益率虽略低于去年,但仍具吸引力,预计美国综合债券未来十年的年回报率为4.8%,略低于去年预测的4.9%。

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