1月26日，BCA Research全球投资策略团队副总裁Miroslav Aradski表示，如果采用滚动高点的方法，即从最近一次市场高位而非按日历周期计算跌幅，标普500指数已连续185天未出现10%的回撤。这一时长本身并不意味着回调迫在眉睫，但长期的平静容易滋生自满情绪。即便市场似乎对政治言辞越来越“脱敏”，地缘政治依然是一个高度不可预测的风险。
Aradski指出，“TACO交易”的核心存在一个深刻的悖论，即市场基于政策威胁终将被收回的假设而选择忽略它们，“在缺乏市场约束的情况下，特朗普反而拥有更大的空间去推进可能具有破坏性的政策。这意味着，当下一次危机到来时，规模可能会超过上一次。”
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