NCR Atleos (NATL) Valuation Check After Dual Sided AI ATM Concept And New CIO Appointment

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Jan 31

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The product update and CIO appointment arrive after a mixed period for the stock, with a 1 year total shareholder return of 13.44% and a flat year to date share price. The recent 1 day share price return of 2.70% contrasts with weaker 7 day and 30 day share price returns of 3.32% and 3.92% declines, which may suggest that investors are still weighing the impact of these moves.\n  If this kind of ATM and fintech story has caught your attention, it could be a useful moment to broaden your view and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.   With a flat year-to-date share price, a 13.44% one-year total return, and a last close of US$37.23 versus an analyst target of US$45.00, is NCR Atleos still underappreciated, or is the market already pricing in its future growth potential? Most Popular Narrative: 17% Undervalued  At a last close of $37.23 versus a narrative fair value of $44.67, the most followed view sees upside that the current price is not reflecting.\n  High recurring revenue mix (over 70% in Q2), significant productivity gains through AI-driven service optimization, and a rapidly scaling backlog are driving strong margin expansion and robust free cash flow. This underpins announced share buybacks and sustained EPS growth and suggests the current valuation does not reflect enhanced long-term earnings power.  Read the complete narrative.  Curious what sits behind that confidence in margins, cash generation, and earnings power? The narrative leans on steady top line expansion, rising profitability and a future earnings multiple that is lower than many peers. The full breakdown shows how those pieces are stitched together into a single fair value number.\n Result: Fair Value of $44.67 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this hinges on cash usage and ATM demand holding up, as a faster shift to digital banking or tougher regulation could pressure margins and recurring revenue.\nFind out about the key risks to this NCR Atleos narrative. Another View: Market Multiple Sends a Different Signal  The narrative fair value points to upside, but the current P/E of 21x is higher than both the US Diversified Financial industry at 14.8x and the peer average at 13.5x, and also above the 20x fair ratio. That gap suggests less margin for error if the optimistic story does not fully play out. Is the premium a comfort or a concern for you? See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NYSE:NATL P/E Ratio as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own NCR Atleos Narrative If your view of NCR Atleos differs, or you would rather rely on your own reading of the numbers and assumptions, you can build a custom narrative in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your NCR Atleos research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If NCR Atleos has sharpened your thinking, do not stop here. Widen your opportunity set with fresh stock ideas sourced directly from focused Simply Wall St screeners.  Spot potential mispricings by scanning these 866 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that our models flag based on cash flows and fundamental strength. Ride the AI wave with these 24 AI penny stocks that sit at the intersection of data, automation and long term digital trends. Position your portfolio for passive income potential by screening these 14 dividend stocks with yields > 3% and see which yields currently stand out.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if NCR Atleos might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"executive,productRelease","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}