Assessing Westgold Resources (ASX:WGX) Valuation After Strong Q2 Production And Reaffirmed Guidance

Simply Wall St.

Jan 30

Westgold Resources (ASX:WGX) has put fresh operating data in front of the market, reporting Q2 group gold production of 111,418oz compared with 83,937oz in Q1 FY26, while keeping full year guidance ...

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This suggests momentum has been...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"WGX.AU":"WESTGOLD RESOURCES LTD","BK7506":"金矿股","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK7104":"黄金"},"translate_title":"在第二季度产量强劲并重申指引后评估Westgold Resources(ASX：WGX)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"WGX.AU":1.5},"content_text":"Westgold Resources (ASX:WGX) has put fresh operating data in front of the market, reporting Q2 group gold production of 111,418oz compared with 83,937oz in Q1 FY26, while keeping full year guidance unchanged. See our latest analysis for Westgold Resources. The Q2 production update and reaffirmed guidance land against a strong share price trend, with an A$7.76 close supported by a 45.86% 90 day share price return and a very large 1 year total shareholder return. This suggests momentum has been building as investors reassess growth and risk around upcoming results. If this kind of move has your attention, it could be a good time to broaden your watchlist with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With Q2 production, unchanged guidance and a strong recent share price run already on the table, the real question now is whether Westgold still trades at an attractive valuation or if the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 13.8% Overvalued Compared with the A$7.76 share price, the most followed narrative points to a fair value of A$6.82, using a 7.69% discount rate.  The analysts have a consensus price target of A$4.141 for Westgold Resources based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of A$5.07, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just A$3.76.  Read the complete narrative. Analysts are incorporating assumptions about growth in both revenue and earnings, as well as higher margins, all compressed into a single fair value number. Curious how bold those assumptions really are? Result: Fair Value of A$6.82 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, that story could change quickly if ore grades or integration of the Karora assets fall short of expectations, or if cost inflation eats into margins faster than assumed. Find out about the key risks to this Westgold Resources narrative. Another View: Cash Flows Paint a Very Different Picture While the popular narrative suggests A$6.82 per share, our DCF model points in the opposite direction. On this view, Westgold at A$7.76 trades about 73% below an estimated future cash flow value of A$28.41. That is a big gap. Which story do you trust more? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. WGX Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Westgold Resources for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 866 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Westgold Resources Narrative If you see the numbers differently or prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build a complete Westgold view in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Westgold Resources research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Westgold is already on your radar, do not stop there. A few extra minutes with the right stock ideas could reshape how you think about your portfolio.  Start building a watchlist of potential turnaround stories by scanning these 866 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that may be trading below what their cash flows suggest. Tap into the growth potential of machine learning and automation by checking out these 23 AI penny stocks shaping how software, data and hardware come together. Add a different source of return potential to your research by reviewing these 19 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks connected to blockchain infrastructure, exchanges and digital asset services.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Westgold Resources might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}