Moog (MOG.A) Margin Improvement And 6.1% Net Profit Challenge Bearish Narratives

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Jan 31

Moog (MOG.A) has opened Q1 2026 earnings season with a fresh set of numbers, coming off a recent quarter where revenue was US$1.0 billion and basic EPS came in at US$2.10, backed by trailing twelve ...

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The company has seen revenue move from US$917.1 million in Q4 2024 to US$1.0 billion in Q4 2025, while quarterly basic EPS stepped up from US$1.39 to US$2.10 over the same stretch, setting the stage for investors to weigh how sustainable that...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"MOG.A":"Moog Inc.","MOG.B":"Moog Inc.","BK4187":"航天航空与国防"},"translate_title":"穆格(MOG.A)利润率改善和6.1%净利润挑战看跌叙事","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"MOG.B":0.9,"MOG.A":1},"content_text":"Moog (MOG.A) has opened Q1 2026 earnings season with a fresh set of numbers, coming off a recent quarter where revenue was US$1.0 billion and basic EPS came in at US$2.10, backed by trailing twelve month EPS of US$7.42 on revenue of US$3.9 billion. The company has seen revenue move from US$917.1 million in Q4 2024 to US$1.0 billion in Q4 2025, while quarterly basic EPS stepped up from US$1.39 to US$2.10 over the same stretch, setting the stage for investors to weigh how sustainable that earnings profile looks into the new fiscal year. With net profit margin at 6.1% on a trailing basis and slightly higher than a year earlier, the latest results point to a business where margins are a key part of the story. See our full analysis for Moog. With the headline figures on the table, the next step is to see how these results line up with the widely held market narratives around Moog and where the numbers start to challenge those stories. Curious how numbers become stories that shape markets? Explore Community Narratives NYSE:MOG.A Earnings & Revenue History as at Jan 2026 AdvertisementTTM earnings of US$235 million put recent growth in context  On a trailing basis, Moog earned US$235.0 million of net income on US$3.9b of revenue, which lines up with the 6.1% net margin and sits against a five year earnings growth rate of 24.4% per year and 12.6% growth over the last year. What stands out for a bullish view is that the latest quarterly net income of US$66.5 million and basic EPS of US$2.10 slot into that trailing pattern. Critics may point to the gap between the 24.4% five year earnings growth rate and the more recent 12.6% figure as a sign that the pace has cooled somewhat.\n     Supporters can point to the move in quarterly net income from US$44.6 million in Q4 2024 to US$66.5 million in Q4 2025 as evidence that the trailing earnings base is being maintained off higher recent profits. Skeptics can counter that even with TTM EPS at US$7.42, the most recent year sits below the longer run 24.4% growth rate, so they may question how much of the past five year trend is a guide to the current profile.    To see how that earnings track record feeds into longer term storylines and different viewpoints, have a look at the full range of perspectives on Moog and how they connect the numbers to the bigger picture. 📊 Read the full Moog Consensus Narrative. 6.1% margin and high debt keep risk and reward in balance  Moog is earning a 6.1% net margin on the trailing numbers versus 5.8% a year earlier, while at the same time carrying a high level of debt that is flagged as a risk in the recent analysis. Critics highlight that a bearish stance is not only about valuation but also about balance sheet structure, and the combination of a 6.1% margin with high debt gives them concrete figures to point to.\n     The move in margin from 5.8% to 6.1% shows the business is currently producing more profit on each dollar of the US$3.9b revenue base, which challenges a simple bearish argument that profitability is too thin. At the same time, the flagged high debt level leaves bears with a clear talking point that earnings are tied to a more leveraged capital structure, so they may focus on how sensitive that 6.1% margin could be to any change in financing conditions.    P/E of 43.5x and DCF fair value of US$318.58 frame today’s US$305.35 share price  The shares trade on a trailing P/E of 43.5x at a US$305.35 price, which is below the peer average P/E of 48.5x, slightly above the 41.5x industry average and around 4.2% below the US$318.58 DCF fair value. Supporters of a more bullish stance argue that being priced below both the US$318.58 DCF fair value and the peer average P/E gives Moog some valuation support. The higher P/E versus the Aerospace & Defense average and the company’s high debt are the specific points that keep more cautious investors focused on downside risk.\n     On one side, the roughly 4.2% gap between the current price and the DCF fair value, together with a P/E that is lower than the 48.5x peer mark, can be used to argue the stock is not stretched relative to similar companies in the trailing data. On the other, the 43.5x P/E sitting above the 41.5x industry average and the flagged leverage mean bears can reasonably say the stock is not cheap against the broader group when you factor in the balance sheet.     Next Steps Don't just look at this quarter; the real story is in the long-term trend. We've done an in-depth analysis on Moog's growth and its valuation to see if today's price is a bargain. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio now so you don't miss the next big move. See What Else Is Out There Moog’s 6.1% net margin, high debt load and P/E above the broader industry average give some investors pause about how resilient the current setup is. If that balance of healthy profits and heavier leverage feels a bit tight, check out solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (391 results) today to focus on companies built on stronger financial footing and lower risk.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}