金吾财讯 | 华泰证券表示，预测2026-2028年中国制造业天然气需求将保持温和增长（年均增速2%），但结构性分化显著：新兴制造业、汽车制造等领域需求持续扩容（年均增速最高7.8%），传统高耗能行业需求逐步收缩（年均降幅2.8%-3.1%）。这一变化推动城燃行业从“资源分销”向“综合能源服务”转型，客户结构优化、增值服务拓展与顺价效率提升构成核心机遇，同时替代能源竞争与区域博弈加剧行业分化，具备转型能力的企业将充分享受结构性红利。投资主线聚焦转型能力与结构红利：1）全国性城燃龙头，依托跨区域资源与管网优势捕捉新兴需求；2）区域龙头，深耕本地新兴产业集群，绑定零碳园区建设；3）能源服务平台型企业，凭借LNG资源优势对接大型新兴制造业项目。
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