复盘半个世纪数据:当黄金短线涨幅超过20%,接下来通常会发生什么?

华尔街见闻
Jan 30

德意志银行分析师Michael Hsueh指出,黄金涨幅越急后续表现越差,当两周涨幅越过20%的门槛,金价未来六个月内继续上涨的概率骤降至38%,平均涨幅只有11%;而下跌的概率达到62%,平均跌幅为1%。德银对2026年第四季度的平均金价预测仍维持在6000美元。金价在两周内飙升20%,站上5536美元/盎司。这种涨速在过去五十年里只出现过几次,而每一次,市场都走到了一个岔路口。追风交易台消息,...

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