A Look At GQG Partners’ Valuation As It Stays Out Of The AI Rally And Faces Investor Redemptions

Simply Wall St.

Jan 31

AdvertisementWhy GQG Partners' stance on the AI rally matters now GQG Partners (ASX:GQG) has come into focus after chairman Rajiv Jain publicly defended the group’s decision to avoid the AI stock ...

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However, the 3...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK7062":"资产管理与托管银行","GQG.AU":"GQG Partners Inc"},"translate_title":"看看GQG Partners的估值，因为它没有参与人工智能反弹并面临投资者赎回","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"GQG.AU":1},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy GQG Partners' stance on the AI rally matters now GQG Partners (ASX:GQG) has come into focus after chairman Rajiv Jain publicly defended the group’s decision to avoid the AI stock rally, even as client withdrawals and performance concerns have picked up. See our latest analysis for GQG Partners. Against that backdrop, GQG Partners’ decision to sit out the AI trade has coincided with a 10.03% 1 month share price decline and a 17.91% 1 year total shareholder return decline. However, the 3 year total shareholder return of 34.82% still points to a very different longer term picture. If Rajiv Jain’s caution around AI has you rethinking where growth could come from next, it might be worth scanning fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other ideas that are catching investors’ attention. With the share price under pressure, a value score of 5, an intrinsic discount of 64.74% and a 33.41% discount to analyst targets, is GQG Partners an overlooked value opportunity or is the market already accounting for potential future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 19.1% Undervalued At a last close of A$1.57 versus a narrative fair value of A$1.94, the current price sits below what the most followed view considers reasonable for GQG Partners.  From a quantitative perspective the company is highly impressive: a large, profitable, international funds manager with a growing client base and financial metrics that would stand out even in smaller, riskier enterprises. Growth prospects remain strong, particularly given Jain’s close connections with India, which could be one of the major growth stories of the coming decades.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of growth profile and profitability assumptions sit behind that valuation gap. The narrative leans heavily on earnings quality, wide margins and an ambitious future profit multiple. It is useful to see how those pieces fit together into A$1.94 per share. Result: Fair Value of A$1.94 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this hinges on continued earnings quality and client confidence, while any further controversy around major holdings or active fees could quickly change how that A$1.94 looks. Find out about the key risks to this GQG Partners narrative.  Build Your Own GQG Partners Narrative If you are not fully on board with that view or prefer to roll up your sleeves and test the numbers yourself, you can build a custom take on GQG Partners in just a few minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your GQG Partners research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If GQG Partners has sharpened your thinking, do not stop there. Broaden your watchlist now with a few focused stock ideas built from clear, data driven screens.  Target potential mispricings by reviewing these 868 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that currently screen as attractive based on their projected cash flows and fundamentals. Explore technology themes by checking out these 25 AI penny stocks that are tied to artificial intelligence and related developments. Strengthen your income focus by screening these 14 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that combine higher yields with underlying business quality checks.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}