《汇市短评》澳元/美元升势可能面临重大考验

路透中文
Feb 03
《汇市短评》澳元/美元升势可能面临重大考验

路透2月3日 - 澳元周二大幅走高,显示兑美元可能重启上行趋势,但当前仍存在重大阻碍,可能阻碍进一步上涨。澳洲央行一如预期加息25个基点,总裁布洛克发表鹰派言论。她对通胀根深蒂固表示担忧,并指出澳元持续走强将有助于抑制输入型通胀。澳元兑美元周一在0.6909触底,周二早盘在澳洲央行决议后攀升至0.7033。澳元1月29日曾触及0.7094美元高点,而随后两天的回落一度威胁逆转1月19日至29日期间 0.6668-0.7094 的上涨走势。周线图更清晰地揭示出澳元面临的挑战。截至1月30日当周的K线拉出长上影线,表明买盘动能减弱且走势可能转向。冲高至0.7094也使周线相对强弱指数$(RSI)$进入超买区域。极端RSI水平虽反映趋势强度,但也预示着进一步修正回调的风险。月线图同样呈现长上影线形态,但1月汇价收在100月均线之上,构成强烈看涨信号。澳元/美元上次收于100月均线上方还是在2014年8月。在澳洲央行的鹰派立场和技术面支撑的共同推动下,澳元/美元似乎有望重新测试1月29日的重要高点0.7094。

更多汇市简讯请点选FXNEWS/CN(Peter Stoneham是路透的市场分析师。以上内容仅代表其个人观点) (完)

AUD/USD Weekly Chart: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/buzz/egvbbdaazvq/Pasted%20image%201770104805355.png

(编审 艾茂林)

((amy.ai@thomsonreuters.com; 86-10-56692080; ))

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