AI大厂资本开支指引超预期,同指数规模最大通信ETF华夏(515050)V型翻红,聚焦CPO光模块+PCB算力硬件

中金财经
Feb 03

  2月3日,A股临近午盘再度拉升, CPO、光通信、光芯片等方向V型上扬。截至11:20,通信ETF华夏(515050)涨0.69%。持仓股方面,天孚通信信维通信领涨,鹏鼎控股光库科技等跟涨。近期海内外科技大厂最新季度业绩密集发布,META2025年Q4财报显示,广告稳健、AI布局加速落地,全年Capex指引超预期。公司25Q4实现营收598.93亿美元,同比增长24%;净利润227.68亿美元,同比增长9%,并预计2026年第一季度收入区间535-565亿美元。25Q4资本开支221.4亿美元(含融资租赁),同比增长49%,同时公司宣布2026年资本开支将大幅提升至约1150–1350亿美元的区间,同比增长59%-87%,显著高于此前预期,主要用于Meta超级智能实验室和其他核心业务等长期战略布局。公司预计全年总费用也将显著上升,反映在对AI算力与人才的持续投入上。AI研发,算力为先。中信证券表示,尽管当前AI应用大规模商业化落地能见度仍然不足,但展望未来3-6个月,随着推理端AI应用落地的密集催化叠加训练端模型的持续迭代,算力需求仍有望进一步上行,一旦美股财报季算力需求得到确认,前期压制算力板块情绪与估值的“算力泡沫论”担忧有望得到阶段性缓解,算力产业链或迎来新一轮上涨。通信ETF华夏(515050)最新规模超80亿元,深度覆盖光模块、通信设备、算力基础设施等领域,CPO+CPB概念股权重合计超76%,位居全市场第一。前五大权重股包含中际旭创新易盛等光模块龙头,同时覆盖立讯精密工业富联等算力硬件标的。(A类:008086;C类:008087)    

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