Port of Tauranga (NZSE:POT) Valuation Check After Stella Passage Gains Fast Track Priority Status

Simply Wall St.

Feb 02

Port of Tauranga (NZSE:POT) has re-applied under the Fast-track Approvals Act 2024 for its Stella Passage harbour development, now classified as a priority project after recent legislative amendments ...

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See our latest analysis for Port of Tauranga. The Stella Passage priority status comes as Port of Tauranga’s 1 month share price return of 3.89% and 3 month share price return of 4.30% point to gradually improving momentum, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 26.71% reflects stronger longer term gains. If this kind of infrastructure story has your attention, it could be a good moment to widen your search and see fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With the Stella Passage project now on a fast track and Port of Tauranga reporting NZ$464.675 million in revenue and NZ$173.373 million in net income, you have to ask: Is the current share price already reflecting this, or is the market underestimating its potential? AdvertisementPreferred P/E of 31.4x: Is it justified? Port of Tauranga shares last closed at NZ$8.01, and on that price the stock is trading on a P/E of 31.4x, above several comparison points that relate to its earnings power. The P/E multiple compares the current share price with earnings per share, so a higher ratio generally means investors are paying more today for each dollar of current earnings. For an infrastructure focused business, that can sometimes reflect expectations for steadier long term cash generation rather than rapid profit expansion. Here, Port of Tauranga’s 31.4x P/E is higher than the peer average of 25.6x and also above the estimated fair P/E of 23.9x. Our model suggests this is a level the market could gravitate toward over time. It also sits well above the Global Infrastructure industry average of 15.8x, which points to investors assigning a clear premium relative to both local peers and the broader sector. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Port of Tauranga Result: Price-to-Earnings of 31.4x (OVERVALUED) However, you also have to weigh the 10% premium to the NZ$7.21 price target, as well as the risk that the fast track process or project economics hit roadblocks. Find out about the key risks to this Port of Tauranga narrative. Another view using our DCF model While the 31.4x P/E points to an expensive stock, our DCF model comes to a similar conclusion. It puts fair value at NZ$6.68 per share, below the current NZ$8.01 price. This suggests there may be limited valuation cushion if project expectations are already reflected in the share price. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. POT Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Port of Tauranga for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 874 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Port of Tauranga Narrative If you look at the numbers and come to a different conclusion, or simply prefer your own homework, you can build a full view in minutes, starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Port of Tauranga research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Port of Tauranga has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist with fresh ideas that could fit your style and goals.  Target reliable cash flow by scanning these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that may offer income potential alongside capital growth. Spot early movers in a fast changing space by checking out these 18 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks that are tied to digital assets and blockchain technology. Hunt for potential mispriced opportunities by reviewing these 874 undervalued stocks based on cash flows where current prices sit below estimated cash flow value.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}