比推消息,据金十报道, 财经网站 Investinglive 分析师 Giuseppe Dellamotta 表示,黄金在经历数十年最严重回撤后已进入反弹修复阶段。然而基本面因素仍不利于金价上涨,因此金价要么将维持在一月高点下方的宽幅震荡区间,要么在未来数周或数月内面临再度下挫的风险。事实上,周一公布的美国 ISM 制造业 PMI 表现强劲,新订单指数跃升至 2022 年以来最高水平。尽管该数据未引发新一轮抛售(因美联储主要关注劳动力市场和通胀),但金价进一步下行的风险依然存在。今日市场将迎来美国 ADP 就业数据和 ISM 服务业 PMI 数据。若数据意外强劲,可能引发利率预期的鹰派重估,从而对黄金构成压力。反之,若数据表现疲软,在等待下周非农报告期间,金价反弹可能延续并突破新高。
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