A Look At Calix (CALX) Valuation After Record Earnings Cloud Progress And Expanded Buybacks

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Feb 04

AdvertisementWhy Calix’s latest earnings are drawing fresh attention Calix (CALX) is back in focus after reporting record quarterly and full year results, highlighting higher revenue and a swing to ...

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For 2025 as a whole, revenue was US$1.00...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":["earning"],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"CALX":"Calix Networks","PRGS":"Progress Software Corporation"},"translate_title":"创纪录的盈利云进展和扩大回购后Calix(CALX)估值一览","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"CALX":1.5,"PRGS":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy Calix’s latest earnings are drawing fresh attention Calix (CALX) is back in focus after reporting record quarterly and full year results, highlighting higher revenue and a swing to profit, while advancing its cloud platform transition and expanding its share repurchase authorization. The company reported fourth quarter revenue of US$272.45 million, with net income of US$7.21 million, compared with a net loss in the same period a year earlier. For 2025 as a whole, revenue was US$1.00 billion and net income reached US$17.88 million, reversing the prior year’s loss. Management also pointed to progress on its third generation cloud platform, with more than 300 customers already migrated and new AI driven capabilities being rolled out alongside partnerships such as Google Cloud. Alongside the earnings release, Calix completed a multi year buyback of 5,062,259 shares for US$190.7 million and increased its overall repurchase authorization by US$125 million to US$425 million, indicating an active capital return framework. See our latest analysis for Calix. Despite the strong earnings update and increased buyback authorization, recent trading has been choppy, with a 7 day share price return of a 14.04% decline and a 90 day share price return of a 28.37% decline. Even so, the 1 year total shareholder return of 18.09% and 5 year total shareholder return of 34.15% suggest that, over longer periods, holders have still seen positive outcomes. If Calix’s cloud and AI story has your attention, this could be a useful moment to widen your lens and check out high growth tech and AI stocks as potential comparison ideas. With Calix shares down over the past quarter despite record revenue and a swing to profit, and trading at a discount to the average analyst target, is there mispricing here, or is the market already baking in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 35.8% Undervalued With Calix last closing at $48.12 versus a widely followed fair value of $75, the prevailing narrative leans toward a sizable valuation gap tied to execution on its platform story.  The move to a cloud/software-centric, end-to-end platform continues to expand recurring revenue and gross margins. As customers more deeply adopt Calix Cloud and managed services, continued margin improvement and earnings quality should follow, helping to support higher long-term net margins and cash flow.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of growth profile and margin mix would need to sit behind that $75 figure? The most followed narrative sets out a detailed path, including assumptions on how quickly cloud, managed services, and new AI tools could compound together. If you want to see exactly how those moving parts stack up over time, the full narrative lays it out step by step. Result: Fair Value of $75 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there is also a live risk that adoption of Calix’s agentic AI features lags, or that intensifying competition squeezes margins and undercuts the 35.8% undervalued case. Find out about the key risks to this Calix narrative. Another angle on valuation While the narrative fair value of $75 points to an undervalued story, the market is sending mixed signals. Calix trades on a P/S of 3.2x, which is higher than both the US Communications industry at 1.9x and its peer average of 2.4x, yet below a fair ratio of 4.5x suggested by regression analysis. That combination of a richer current P/S and a higher fair ratio hints at both valuation risk and potential upside if sentiment shifts. The real question is which side of that gap you think closes first: the multiple or the story. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NYSE:CALX P/S Ratio as at Feb 2026 Build Your Own Calix Narrative If you see these numbers differently or want to test the assumptions yourself, you can build a fresh Calix view in minutes with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Calix research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Ready to scout your next ideas? Do not stop with a single stock view, use Simply Wall Street’s tools now to spot fresh ideas that fit your style before others get there first.  Target value opportunities with these 873 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that align with your preferred balance of price and fundamentals. Ride the AI wave smartly by checking out these 25 AI penny stocks that are already on investors’ radar. Tap into growth at the smaller end of the market using these 3531 penny stocks with strong financials to find higher risk, higher potential ideas.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}