铜业股悉数下跌 中国大冶有色金属(00661)跌9.47% 花旗指春节可能是铜获利了结的触发点

金吾财讯
Feb 02

金吾财讯 | 铜业股悉数下跌,截至发稿,中国大冶有色金属(00661)跌9.47%,江西铜业股份(00358)跌6.91%,中国有色矿业(01258)跌5.48%,五矿资源(01208)跌3.69%。消息面上,花旗发表研报指出,铜价已大幅上涨,短暂突破花旗近期设定的每吨14,000美元的目标价位,中国投资者受到贵金属价格上涨动能、美元疲软推动下,买盘远超疲软的实体基本面及中国以外投资者的抛售。花旗对近期铜价走势缺乏信心;未来两周,很可能看到中国投资者进一步将资金配置或轮动至基本金属,以对抗贵金属价格上扬;在白银和黄金价格呈抛物线式上涨的背景下,铜价飙升至1.5万至1.6万美元/吨并非不可能。但花旗的基本预期是,即使实体市场对金属高价的阻力加剧,铜价在2026年仍将维持在1.3万美元/吨左右,足以在今年实现市场供需平衡。花旗表示,虽然对铜价达到每吨1.5万至1.6万美元不感到奇怪,但对这种买盘能否持续的信心不高,若果持续,更有可能发生在春节前的短期内,而春节可能是获利了结的触发点。

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