小摩:内地电讯商增值税调高 料中国移动(00941)受影响最小

智通财经
Feb 03

智通财经APP获悉,摩根大通发布研报称,内地三大电讯营运商宣布调整增值税,涉及移动数据、短信/彩信以及互联网宽带服务的业务税率,将由6%上调至9%。该行预计,有关调整将对中国移动(00941)、中国电信(00728)及中国联通(00762)的2026年净利润构为7.1%、12.6%及11.9%影响,并估计对中移动的影响在三间营运商中最小,因其毛利较高。

不过,该行认为实际盈利冲击可能较估算温和,因为三大电讯商正处于国企改革进程中,而当局为国企订立财务指标KPI,包括利润增长、股本回报率改善及健康的现金流。预期电讯商可透过不同措施抵销增值税调整的影响,包括优化营运开支、加价及控制资本开支等。

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