【券商聚焦】中国银河:《通知》分电源完善容量电价机制,调节型电源盈利稳定性增强,有望迎来价值重估

金吾财讯
Feb 04

金吾财讯 | 中国银河证券发研报指,国家发改委、国家能源局发布《关于完善发电侧容量电价机制的通知》(以下简称“《通知》”)。《通知》分电源完善容量电价机制,调节型电源盈利稳定性增强,有望迎来价值重估。此外,容量电价通过稳定调节型电源的收益预期,能够增强其建设积极性和顶峰出力能力,从而为新能源消纳提供更强的支撑,打开新能源装机增长空间。现阶段,火电:推荐区域布局多元的全国性公司,以及26年电价降幅相对较小的北方电厂;水电:26年市场化电价下降对业绩的影响有限,建议关注股息率处于阶段性高位的大水电资产的公司,以及电价相对稳定、资产注入打开中长期成长空间的公司;核电:短期市场化电价压力仍存,期待电价机制进一步理顺,中长期维度成长性较为确定;新能源:26年全面入市背景下电价仍有下行压力,优选消纳和电价有支撑的风电资产;同时建议关注布局绿色氢氨醇、打造第二增长曲线的公司。

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