巴克莱:沃什偏鹰派有助提升美联储独立性形象

格隆汇
Feb 02

2月2日,美国总统特朗普提名沃什(Kevin Warsh)任美联储主席,巴克莱早前发表报告评论,沃什较为鹰派,但有助提升美联储独立性形象,以及较为克制的货币政策预期。巴克莱指沃什较为鹰派,理由是沃什自2011年离开联美联储理事会后,长期批评美联储的量化宽松政策,显示其对货币政策立场偏向收紧、较不倾向长期宽松,这与市场当时的鸽派预期形成对比。

该行指,如果鲍威尔在5月主席任期结束后选择继续留任理事(任期至2028年1月31日),再加上沃什上任,美联储FOMC的鹰鸽派组成将难以大幅改变,特朗普很难透过单一主席更换大幅转向鸽派,预期到2028年,鹰派和鸽派的比例将保持相对平衡。

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