美银:全球股市面临下行风险 继续看好长期投资债券

格隆汇
Feb 02

美国银行的策略师们近日表示,投资者的乐观情绪已达到极高水平,他们的“牛熊指标”已经从9.2上升至9.4——表明风险资产的卖出信号仍在持续闪烁。

美银首席投资策略师迈克尔·哈特内特的团队指出,89%的MSCI全球股票指数目前均高于其50日和200日移动平均线,这使得市场进入该银行所定义的“超买”区域,通常预示着股票市场存在较高的下行风险。在当前的形势下,哈特内特重申了2026年的几个重点投资策略:继续看好长期投资债券,以应对通货紧缩和潜在的去杠杆化风险,同时对国际资产(尤其是中国资产)持结构性看涨态度。

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