Hyperliquid price prediction bets HIP-4 can make outcome markets mainstream at a rich HYPE premium

cryptonews

Feb 03

Hyperliquid price prediction HIP-4 expands outcome trading as HYPE trades far below its high, with rich valuations, heavy turnover, and skewed upside-downside risk. Summary HIP-4 adds “outcome” ...

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One of the best stock trading platforms in Singapore.","ogImage":"https://c1.itigergrowtha.com/portal5/static/media/og-logo.be62fbe1.png","ogUrl":"https://www.itiger.com/news/2608871081"},"companyName":"Tiger Brokers"},"pageData":{"isMobile":false,"isTiger":false,"isTTM":true,"region":"SGP","license":"TBSG","edition":"fundamental"},"isCrawlerRequest":true,"__swrFallback__":{"@#url:\"https://stock-news.skytigris.cn/v3/news\",params:#id:\"2608871081\",edition:\"fundamental\",auth_exemption:1,,,undefined,":{"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2608871081?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","thumbnail":"","is_english":true,"pubTime":"2026-02-03 21:33","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2608871081","market":"sh","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"Hyperliquid price prediction bets HIP-4 can make outcome markets mainstream at a rich HYPE premium","media":"cryptonews","content":"<div>\n<p>Hyperliquid price prediction HIP-4 expands outcome trading as HYPE trades far below its high, with rich valuations, heavy turnover, and skewed upside-downside risk.\n\n\nSummary\n\n\n\nHIP-4 adds “outcome” ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://crypto.news/hyperliquid-price-prediction-bets-hip-4-can-make-outcome-markets-mainstream-at-a-rich-hype-premium/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"crypto_news_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHyperliquid price prediction bets HIP-4 can make outcome markets mainstream at a rich HYPE premium\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-03 21:33 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://crypto.news/hyperliquid-price-prediction-bets-hip-4-can-make-outcome-markets-mainstream-at-a-rich-hype-premium/><strong>cryptonews</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hyperliquid price prediction HIP-4 expands outcome trading as HYPE trades far below its high, with rich valuations, heavy turnover, and skewed upside-downside risk.\n\n\nSummary\n\n\n\nHIP-4 adds “outcome” ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://crypto.news/hyperliquid-price-prediction-bets-hip-4-can-make-outcome-markets-mainstream-at-a-rich-hype-premium/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"ATH.AU","symbol_name":"ALTERITY THERAPEUTICS LTD","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://crypto.news/hyperliquid-price-prediction-bets-hip-4-can-make-outcome-markets-mainstream-at-a-rich-hype-premium/","article_id":"2608871081","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"crypto_news_highlight","url":"https://crypto.news/hyperliquid-price-prediction-bets-hip-4-can-make-outcome-markets-mainstream-at-a-rich-hype-premium/","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2608871081","pubTimestamp":1770125589,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"crypto_news_highlight","name":"Crypto News"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Hyperliquid price prediction HIP-4 expands outcome trading as HYPE trades far below its high, with rich valuations, heavy turnover, and skewed upside-downside risk.HIP-4 adds “outcome” contracts for prediction markets and bounded options-like trades, expanding HyperCore’s non-linear derivatives toolkit.HYPE sits near $32–$33 with ~$860m 24h volume, up over 300% in a year yet still roughly 40% below its ~$59 all-time high.Hyperliquid  is trying to turn “the perpification of everything” into a fullstack derivatives and predictionmarket machine, but the market is already pricing in a lot of perfection as price prediction seeks to court HYPE all-time highs.HyperCore will support outcome trading . Outcomes are fully collateralized contracts that settle within a fixed range. They are a general-purpose primitive that are useful for applications such as prediction markets and bounded options-like instruments. There has been…Structurally, the token is still well below its peak. CryptoRank and C","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"crypto.news","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"ATH.AU":"ALTERITY THERAPEUTICS LTD","BK7067":"生物科技","ATH":"Athene Holding Ltd","BK4162":"人寿与健康保险"},"translate_title":"超流动性价格预测押注HIP-4可以以丰厚的炒作溢价使结果市场成为主流","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"ATH.AU":1,"ATH":1},"content_text":"Hyperliquid price prediction HIP-4 expands outcome trading as HYPE trades far below its high, with rich valuations, heavy turnover, and skewed upside-downside risk.\n\n\nSummary\n\n\n\nHIP-4 adds “outcome” contracts for prediction markets and bounded options-like trades, expanding HyperCore’s non-linear derivatives toolkit.\nHYPE sits near $32–$33 with ~$860m 24h volume, up over 300% in a year yet still roughly 40% below its ~$59 all-time high.\nValuation and tape show crowded speculative flow, with tighter upside vs downside unless HIP-4 converts hype into durable fees and user growth.\n\n\n\nHyperliquid (HYPE) is trying to turn “the perpification of everything” into a full‑stack derivatives and prediction‑market machine, but the market is already pricing in a lot of perfection as price prediction seeks to court HYPE all-time highs.\nWhat HIP-4 Actually Does\nIn a new proposal, the team said “HyperCore will support outcome trading (HIP‑4),” describing outcomes as “fully collateralized contracts that settle within a fixed range” designed for “prediction markets and bounded options‑like instruments.” They argue that outcomes “bring non‑linearity, dated contracts, and an alternative form of derivative trading that does not involve leverage or liquidations,” expanding HyperCore’s “expressivity” alongside portfolio margin and the HyperEVM.\n\nHyperCore will support outcome trading (HIP-4). Outcomes are fully collateralized contracts that settle within a fixed range. They are a general-purpose primitive that are useful for applications such as prediction markets and bounded options-like instruments. There has been…— Hyperliquid (@HyperliquidX) February 2, 2026\n\nCanonical markets, they added, will be “based on objective settlement sources,” denominated in USDH and rolled out only “once technical development is complete,” with permissionless deployment “pending user feedback.”\nThe announcement triggered a wave of industry reactions. DeFi analyst Ignas called the move “oh wow. smells bullish to me,” while trader 623.hl summarized the ambition in four words: “House all of Finance Hyperliquid.” Another commentator, Kosta Wizard, was blunter: “Hyperliquid really about to kill polymarket and kalshi and I’m all here for it.”\nHYPE Price: Rich Derivatives Premium\nHYPE trades around $32–$33 today, with CoinMarketCap showing $32.71 and roughly $860.3 million in 24‑hour volume. Over the past day the token is modestly higher, with TradingView data indicating a roughly flat to slightly positive 24‑hour move but a 24.16% gain over the last week. On a 30‑day basis, HYPE is up about 2.98%, while the one‑year change is a steep 304.26% advance, reflecting its rise from the low‑$20s to the low‑$30s.\nHyperliquid price chart. Source: crypto.news\nStructurally, the token is still well below its peak. CryptoRank and CoinLore data put the all‑time high near $59.26–$59.33 in mid‑September 2025, leaving HYPE trading about 37–48% under its record. That gap is crucial: even after a 300%‑plus 12‑month return, bulls have not been able to reclaim prior extremes, suggesting supply continues to hit the market on every push into the $40–$50 band.\nQuantitative Read on HIP‑4 and HYPE\nFrom a numbers perspective, HYPE’s current 24‑hour volume of around $860 million against a spot price near $32.7 implies more than 26 million tokens turning over in a day, a high‑velocity tape consistent with speculative, derivatives‑driven flow. If we assume a fully diluted valuation near $10 billion, as one trader framed it (“$10b fdv for a protocol targeting trillions in addressable markets”), HYPE is effectively valued at roughly 0.5–1.0% of the “trillions” in notional outcome and perp markets it hopes to intermediate.\nYet the price path shows diminishing upside. A move from roughly $7.56 at first listing to $59.33 at the 2025 high was a 685% gain; the subsequent drop into the mid‑$20s erased more than half that advance, and the rebound into the low‑$30s recovers only about a quarter of the peak‑to‑trough damage. On a simple mean‑reversion basis, the midpoint between $59.3 (ATH) and $20.5 (recent annual low) sits near $39.9, roughly 22% above today’s level; that is a plausible medium‑term “fair value” range if volumes stay elevated and HIP‑4 ships to mainnet without major issues.\nHowever, to revisit the all‑time high, HYPE would need an 80–85% rally from current prices, compared with only a 30–35% downside back to the $20–$25 band that capped earlier cycles. The asymmetry is unfavorable: upside requires both sustained fee growth from new outcome markets and continued risk‑on sentiment, while downside can be triggered by any slowdown in trading or regulatory pressure on prediction markets.\nPrice Prediction: Intent vs. Gravity\nIn the near term (1–3 months), HIP‑4 hype and testnet traction could justify a grind toward the mid‑$30s to high‑$30s, roughly aligning with that $39–$40 mean‑reversion band, implying 15–25% upside from here if volumes hold near the current $800–$900 million daily run‑rate. But with the token already up more than 300% year‑on‑year and still 40% off its high, the more probable 6–12 month path is a choppy range between $24 and $40, with frequent 20–30% swings as derivatives flows amplify both rallies and liquidations.\nUnless Hyperliquid converts HIP‑4 from a narrative into measurable fee and user growth that outpaces the rest of DeFi, the math argues that HYPE remains a high‑beta bet on speculative derivatives volumes, not a straight‑line compounder — a structure where intent is enormous, but gravity, in the form of prior bagholders and stretched multiples, still dominates the tape.\n\n\n\n\n\n                Read more:\n            \n\n                Elon Musk’s xAI seeks crypto pro to build AI-driven market strategies but offers laughable pay","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}