Is Safehold (SAFE) Now Offering Value After Years Of Share Price Weakness?

Simply Wall St.

Feb 01

If you are wondering whether Safehold's current share price lines up with its underlying worth, this article walks through what the numbers are actually saying about value. Safehold's shares last ...

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Safehold's shares last ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/real-estate/nyse-safe/safehold/news/is-safehold-safe-now-offering-value-after-years-of-share-pri\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4084","symbol_name":"特种房地产投资信托","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/real-estate/nyse-safe/safehold/news/is-safehold-safe-now-offering-value-after-years-of-share-pri","article_id":"2608888808","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/9551737-choice2-main-header/1585186740457"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/real-estate/nyse-safe/safehold/news/is-safehold-safe-now-offering-value-after-years-of-share-pri","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2608888808","pubTimestamp":1769938205,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Safehold's current share price lines up with its underlying worth, this article walks through what the numbers are actually saying about value.\nSafehold's shares last closed at US$14.11, with returns of 3.5% over the past month but a 1 year return of an 8.9% decline and a 3 year return of a 55.8% decline, which may catch the eye of investors thinking about a possible reset in expectations.\nRecent coverage of Safehold has focused on its role in the real estate...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4084":"特种房地产投资信托","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4234":"特殊用途房地产信托","SAFE":"Safehold"},"translate_title":"经过多年的股价疲软，Safehold(SAFE)现在是否具有价值？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"SAFE":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Safehold's current share price lines up with its underlying worth, this article walks through what the numbers are actually saying about value. Safehold's shares last closed at US$14.11, with returns of 3.5% over the past month but a 1 year return of an 8.9% decline and a 3 year return of a 55.8% decline, which may catch the eye of investors thinking about a possible reset in expectations. Recent coverage of Safehold has focused on its role in the real estate sector and how investors are reassessing companies linked to property related cash flows. This broader context helps frame why the shares have seen a 79.4% decline over 5 years even as the stock has shown a 3.5% gain year to date. On Simply Wall St's valuation checks, Safehold scores 4 out of 6 on its value assessment, with a value score of 4. Next, we will walk through different valuation approaches before finishing with a different way to think about what that score really means for you.  Find out why Safehold's -8.9% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers. AdvertisementApproach 1: Safehold Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow model takes estimates of a company’s future adjusted funds from operations, treats them as future free cash flows, and then discounts those cash flows back to today using a required return. The idea is to translate future cash into a single present value figure per share. For Safehold, the DCF model uses a 2 stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach based on adjusted funds from operations. Analyst inputs and extrapolated estimates point to projected free cash flow reaching $105.95 million in 2030, with a series of annual projections between 2026 and 2035 that are discounted back to today. These ten year figures combine analyst estimates for the earlier years and Simply Wall St extrapolations for the later years. Pulling those discounted cash flows together, the model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of US$16.42 per share. Compared with the recent share price of US$14.11, the DCF output suggests Safehold trades at a 14.1% discount, which indicates the shares are currently priced below this cash flow based estimate. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Safehold is undervalued by 14.1%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 875 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows. SAFE Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Safehold. Approach 2: Safehold Price vs Earnings For profitable companies like Safehold, the P/E ratio is a straightforward way to see how much you are paying for each dollar of current earnings. It ties the share price directly to the bottom line, which many investors use as a quick reality check on valuation. What counts as a \"normal\" P/E really depends on two things: growth expectations and risk. Higher expected earnings growth or lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E, while lower growth or higher risk generally points to a lower, more conservative multiple. Safehold currently trades on a P/E of 8.99x. That sits below the Specialized REITs industry average P/E of 16.29x and the peer average of 22.58x. Simply Wall St also provides a proprietary \"Fair Ratio\" of 38.93x, which is the P/E it would expect for Safehold given factors such as its earnings growth profile, profit margins, industry, market cap and risk characteristics. This Fair Ratio is more tailored than a simple comparison with peers or the industry, because it blends those broader benchmarks with company specific drivers like growth and risk. With the Fair Ratio of 38.93x well above the current 8.99x, this framework points to Safehold trading below that implied fair earnings multiple. Result: UNDERVALUED NYSE:SAFE P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1426 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Safehold Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, which let you set a clear story for a company and then tie that story directly to your own forecasts and fair value estimate. A Narrative is simply your view of where a business is heading, translated into numbers like future revenue, earnings and margins, so you are not just looking at ratios, you are connecting the company’s story to a financial forecast and then to a fair value per share. On Simply Wall St, Narratives are available on the Community page and are used by millions of investors as an easy tool to compare their fair value with the current share price, assess whether that gap suggests a potential investment opportunity, and watch their view update automatically as new earnings, news or other data are added. For Safehold, one investor’s Narrative might point to a fair value above today’s price based on a particular outlook for property related cash flows, while another might set a much lower fair value if they assume more conservative expectations for the company’s growth and profitability. Do you think there's more to the story for Safehold? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:SAFE 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}