WiseTech Global’s Valuation After AI‑Driven Tech Selloff And Slide To 52‑Week Lows

Simply Wall St.

Feb 06

WiseTech Global (ASX:WTC) is back in the spotlight after a sharp sector-wide selloff in technology and software stocks, as concerns around AI disruption and valuation resets have pushed the shares to ...

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See our latest analysis for WiseTech Global. At A$49.92, WiseTech Global’s share price has recorded a 16.0% 7 day share price decline and a 27.2% year to date share price decline, with 1 year total shareholder return of 60.8% decline contrasting with a 54.8% gain over five years. Investors are weighing AI disruption fears, the broader tech selloff, and integration progress on recent acquisitions ahead of the upcoming interim results. If this sharp reset in WiseTech has you reassessing tech exposure, it could be worth scanning our screener of 33 AI infrastructure stocks to see which other AI infrastructure names meet your criteria. With WiseTech now trading near recent lows, investors are asking whether the selloff has gone too far or if ongoing AI risks, acquisition execution questions, and growth expectations mean the current share price already reflects what lies ahead. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 53.5% Undervalued WiseTech Global’s most followed narrative places fair value at A$107.32 per share, more than double the last close of A$49.92, which is why many investors are paying close attention to the assumptions behind it.  The rollout of the new unified, transaction-based CargoWise commercial model (the \"Value Pack\"), which removes seat-based pricing and bundles advanced AI-driven workflow and management engines, is expected to accelerate market penetration, reduce adoption friction, and open the SME market, resulting in significant recurring revenue uplift and higher customer retention as user engagement scales with transaction volumes. WiseTech's strategic acquisition and integration of E2open has immediately increased the company's addressable market (now covering the full global supply chain), enables deep product and operational synergies, and accelerates WiseTech's entry into new segments; this positions the company for outsized revenue growth and operating leverage from cost and product rationalization over time.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how a logistics software company ends up with a fair value more than twice its current price? Revenue growth assumptions, margin resilience and a rich future earnings multiple all sit at the heart of this narrative, and the mix might surprise you. Result: Fair Value of A$107.32 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this depends on organic growth holding up and the E2open integration staying on track, as any stumble in either could quickly challenge that upside story. Find out about the key risks to this WiseTech Global narrative. Another Angle: DCF Puts WiseTech Close to Fair Value While the popular narrative describes WiseTech Global as materially undervalued, our DCF model presents a more balanced perspective. At A$49.92, the shares sit almost exactly in line with our future cash flow value estimate of A$49.76, suggesting limited margin of safety using this method. For you, that raises a simple question: which story feels more grounded in the assumptions you are comfortable with? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. WTC Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out WiseTech Global for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 11 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own WiseTech Global Narrative If you are not fully on board with these assumptions, or prefer to test the numbers yourself, you can build a personalised WiseTech view in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding WiseTech Global. Looking for more investment ideas? If WiseTech has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. Your next strong idea could be sitting in plain sight, and you do not want to miss it.  Spot potential bargains early by scanning our list of screener containing 14 high quality undiscovered gems that combine solid fundamentals with the possibility of being under the market’s radar. Prioritise resilience by reviewing 5 resilient stocks with low risk scores that aim for steadier profiles, so your portfolio is not built only on high volatility names. Strengthen your core holdings with companies that pair financial robustness and quality by checking our solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (21 results) to see which businesses make the cut.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if WiseTech Global might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}