金吾财讯 | 钢铁股普跌，中国罕王(03788)跌6.32%，天工国际(00826)跌3.87%，中国东方集团(00581)跌2.72%，鞍钢股份(00347)跌2.46%，重庆钢铁股份(01053)跌2.46%。中国钢铁工业协会数据显示，2026年1月下旬，重点统计钢铁企业共生产粗钢2128万吨，平均日产193.5万吨，日产环比下降2.2%；生铁1915万吨，平均日产174.1万吨，日产环比下降3.0%；钢材2130万吨，平均日产193.6万吨，日产环比增长3.2%。银河证券表示，展望“十五五”，钢铁供需向平衡收敛与头部集中是大势所趋，拓展用钢新需求与淘汰低效产能同步推进。看2026开局之年，《钢铁行业规范条件（2025年版）》中所述合规产能需完成全流程超低排放改造并公示，继续贯彻《钢铁行业稳增长工作方案（2025-2026年）》中提及的产量压减政策，围绕“高端化、高效化、安全化、特色化、绿色化、智能化”六大引领评价指标，改善目前同质化、内卷式竞争剧烈的局面，同时规范钢铁出口行为，落实对部分产品的出口许可证管理。2025Q3基金对钢铁行业的持仓金额同比大幅抬升，该机构看好产能加速出清下钢铁盈利性的回暖与数智化、绿色化转型升级带来的估值修复，具备长期配置价值。
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