随着美国劳动力市场数据显露疲态，交易员将美联储下一次降息的时间预期从7月提前至6月，并预计10月前将进行第二次降息。而在上一次议息会议后，他们原本预计第二次降息要等到2027年1月底。

　　受职位空缺报告和首次申领失业金人数影响，担保隔夜融资利率（SOFR）期货收益率下跌约9个基点。与此同时，债券收益率曲线持续呈“牛陡”形态，这同样反映了近期利率下行的预期。10年期国债收益率迈向近三个月来的最大单日跌幅。考虑到债券波动率自11月中旬以来一直呈下降趋势，这一剧烈波动或许会让市场感到有些措手不及。

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