金吾财讯 | 中信证券表示，SpaceX 获批部署额外7500颗二代星链，申请100万颗卫星星座；我国提交新增20.3万颗卫星申请。卫星频轨资源申请已上升至国家战略层面，中美商业航天竞争日趋激烈。在ITU“7-9-12-14年”强制发射约束下，高密度发射窗口效应将把火箭与卫星制造推入“刚性放量”的轨道。政策与资本持续赋能，我国商业航天政策进入加速期。2026 年前后，商业航天产业将进入由“技术验证”迈向“规模化产业化”的关键拐点。随着中国星网和 G60 千帆星座批量化发射、海南商发与商业运载火箭投入使用，大运力、低成本趋势将引领行业开启新时代，太空算力进一步打开行业天花板。探月、深空探索、太空旅行等领域的进展将持续拓展产业潜力，中美在卫星频轨资源、空间算力等领域的竞争将推动行业加速迭代。投资端，目前锐度较高的方向是可回收火箭、spaceX链、太空算力，而低轨通信卫星链是最先有基本面逻辑和订单支持的细分领域。该机构认为投资端应更聚焦核心资产，寻找“通胀环节”及“边际新增”方向，看好火箭3D打印、卫星射频天线、卫星碳纤维复材、太阳翼、星间激光通信等相关标的。
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