Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Welltower (WELL) After Its 5 Year Surge?

Simply Wall St.

Feb 05

If you are wondering whether Welltower shares still make sense at today's price, it helps to start by separating recent excitement from what the business might actually be worth. The stock last closed...

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The stock last closed...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/real-estate/nyse-well/welltower/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-buying-welltower-well-after-its-5\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Welltower (WELL) After Its 5 Year Surge?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs It Too Late To Consider Buying Welltower (WELL) After Its 5 Year Surge?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-05 10:41 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/real-estate/nyse-well/welltower/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-buying-welltower-well-after-its-5><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Welltower shares still make sense at today's price, it helps to start by separating recent excitement from what the business might actually be worth. The stock last closed...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/real-estate/nyse-well/welltower/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-buying-welltower-well-after-its-5\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4203","symbol_name":"医疗保健房地产投资信托","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/real-estate/nyse-well/welltower/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-buying-welltower-well-after-its-5","article_id":"2609342578","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/277914-main-header/1756254868832"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/real-estate/nyse-well/welltower/news/is-it-too-late-to-consider-buying-welltower-well-after-its-5","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2609342578","pubTimestamp":1770259288,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Welltower shares still make sense at today's price, it helps to start by separating recent excitement from what the business might actually be worth.\nThe stock last closed at US$185.48, with returns of 0.8% over 7 days, 0.4% over 30 days, a 0.8% decline year to date, 32.7% over 1 year, 165.5% over 3 years and 226.4% over 5 years. This naturally raises questions about how much of this is already reflected in the price.\nRecent coverage of Welltower has focused on...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4203":"医疗保健房地产投资信托","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","WELL":"WELLTOWER OP LLC","BK4225":"医疗保健房地产信托","BK4588":"碎股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"translate_title":"Welltower(WELL)经过5年的飙升后，现在考虑购买是否为时已晚？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"WELL":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Welltower shares still make sense at today's price, it helps to start by separating recent excitement from what the business might actually be worth. The stock last closed at US$185.48, with returns of 0.8% over 7 days, 0.4% over 30 days, a 0.8% decline year to date, 32.7% over 1 year, 165.5% over 3 years and 226.4% over 5 years. This naturally raises questions about how much of this is already reflected in the price. Recent coverage of Welltower has focused on its role in real estate and how investors are treating large US property owners. This helps frame how sentiment around the stock is forming. Broader sector commentary and interest in US listed real estate companies give useful context for how investors may be thinking about risk and opportunity in names like Welltower. On our simple 6 point valuation check, where 1 point is added each time the company screens as undervalued, Welltower scores 1 out of 6. The next step is to look at different valuation approaches and then, later in the article, a more rounded way to think about what the stock could be worth to you.  Welltower scores just 1/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Welltower Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, estimates what a company could be worth by projecting its future adjusted funds from operations, then discounting those cash flows back to today in dollar terms. For Welltower, the model uses a 2 stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach based on adjusted funds from operations. The latest twelve month free cash flow figure is about $2.32b. Simply Wall St then uses analyst inputs for the next few years, and extends those out so that projected free cash flow reaches $5.40b by 2030. Beyond the explicit analyst horizon, the remaining years in the 10 year path are extrapolated rather than directly forecast by analysts. When all those future cash flows are discounted back, the model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about $185.69 per share, very close to the recent price of $185.48. That equates to an implied discount of roughly 0.1%, which is effectively a match between the model and the market. Result: ABOUT RIGHT Welltower is fairly valued according to our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), but this can change at a moment's notice. Track the value in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted on when to act. WELL Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Welltower. Approach 2: Welltower Price vs Earnings For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a useful yardstick because it links what you pay per share to the earnings that each share generates. Investors typically accept a higher P/E when they expect stronger earnings growth or see lower risk, and a lower P/E when growth expectations are more modest or risks feel higher. Welltower currently trades on a P/E of 132.6x. That is above the Health Care REITs industry average of 26.3x and also above the peer group average of 58.8x. On the surface, this points to a richer valuation compared with many listed peers in the same space. Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary “Fair Ratio” to estimate what a more tailored P/E might look like for a company like Welltower, based on factors such as earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and key risks. This is designed to be more specific than a simple comparison with industry or peer averages. For Welltower, the Fair Ratio is 41.3x, which is below the current P/E of 132.6x, suggesting the shares are pricing in more than this framework would indicate. Result: OVERVALUED NYSE:WELL P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1426 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Welltower Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, a simple way for you to write the story behind your numbers by linking your view on Welltower’s future revenue, earnings and margins to a forecast and then to a fair value estimate. On Simply Wall St’s Community page, used by millions of investors, you can pick or create a Narrative that reflects your view, see the fair value it implies and compare that directly with today’s share price to help decide whether the gap between Price and Fair Value looks appealing or not. Narratives are kept current because they update when new information, such as earnings announcements or major news, is added to the platform, so your story and numbers stay aligned. For example, one Welltower Narrative might assume a higher fair value based on stronger long term prospects, while another could point to a lower fair value based on more cautious assumptions about future cash flows and profitability. Do you think there's more to the story for Welltower? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:WELL 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Welltower might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}