Assessing CSL’s (ASX:CSL) Valuation As Results And Dividend Expectations Confront Recent Growth And Regulatory Headwinds

Simply Wall St.

Feb 05

CSL (ASX:CSL) is back in focus after its share price reacted to fresh anticipation around the upcoming half-year results and interim dividend, with recent guidance changes and regulatory reviews ...

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See our latest analysis for CSL. At A$181.7, CSL’s recent 1 month share price return of 5.36% and 1 day gain of 2.02% suggest short term momentum is building again, although the 1 year total shareholder return of 31.46% decline shows longer term holders are still sitting on losses as the market weighs weaker flu vaccine demand, higher plasma related costs and the Tavneos review. If CSL’s recent moves have you thinking more broadly about healthcare opportunities, this could be a useful moment to scan healthcare stocks as you compare ideas. So with CSL trading at A$181.7, carrying a value score of 6 and screening on some measures at a discount to assessed worth, is the recent weakness a chance to buy in, or is the market already pricing in future growth? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 21.9% Undervalued CSL’s most followed narrative puts fair value at A$232.54 versus the current A$181.7 share price. This frames the recent weakness as a discount to assessed worth.  The analysts have a consensus price target of A$284.792 for CSL based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of A$316.67, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just A$225.54.  Read the complete narrative. Want to see what sits behind that higher fair value line? The narrative leans on steadier revenue gains, thicker margins and a richer future earnings multiple. Curious how those moving parts are balanced to reach A$232.54? Result: Fair Value of A$232.54 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there is still meaningful execution risk around Seqirus and vaccine demand, and slower uptake of new therapies could challenge those higher margin and earnings assumptions. Find out about the key risks to this CSL narrative.  Build Your Own CSL Narrative If you are not fully on board with this view, or simply like testing the numbers yourself, you can build a custom CSL story in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding CSL. Looking for more investment ideas? If CSL is on your radar, do not stop there. Broaden your watchlist with a few focused screens that surface other companies you might want to research next.  Spot potential value opportunities early by scanning these 872 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that currently trade at prices some investors may see as attractive relative to their fundamentals. Tap into the digital assets theme by checking out these 19 cryptocurrency and blockchain stocks linked to cryptocurrency infrastructure, payment rails and blockchain technology. Zero in on income ideas by reviewing these 11 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that might appeal if you are prioritising yield alongside business quality.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}