Assessing Wynn Macau (SEHK:1128) Valuation After Macau’s Strong January Gaming Revenue Surprise

Simply Wall St.

Feb 06

Macau’s January gross gaming revenue beat estimates, and that sector wide surprise helped lift casino names even as the broader market softened. Wynn Macau (SEHK:1128) inched up 0.86%, drawing fresh ...

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Wynn Macau (SEHK:1128) inched up 0.86%, drawing fresh ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/hk/consumer-services/hkg-1128/wynn-macau-shares/news/assessing-wynn-macau-sehk1128-valuation-after-macaus-strong\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Assessing Wynn Macau (SEHK:1128) Valuation After Macau’s Strong January Gaming Revenue Surprise</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAssessing Wynn Macau (SEHK:1128) Valuation After Macau’s Strong January Gaming Revenue Surprise\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-06 22:12 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/hk/consumer-services/hkg-1128/wynn-macau-shares/news/assessing-wynn-macau-sehk1128-valuation-after-macaus-strong><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Macau’s January gross gaming revenue beat estimates, and that sector wide surprise helped lift casino names even as the broader market softened. Wynn Macau (SEHK:1128) inched up 0.86%, drawing fresh ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/hk/consumer-services/hkg-1128/wynn-macau-shares/news/assessing-wynn-macau-sehk1128-valuation-after-macaus-strong\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"WYNN","symbol_name":"永利度假村","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/hk/consumer-services/hkg-1128/wynn-macau-shares/news/assessing-wynn-macau-sehk1128-valuation-after-macaus-strong","article_id":"2609594358","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/4211000-choice1-main-header/1585186648041"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/hk/consumer-services/hkg-1128/wynn-macau-shares/news/assessing-wynn-macau-sehk1128-valuation-after-macaus-strong","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2609594358","pubTimestamp":1770387145,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Macau’s January gross gaming revenue beat estimates, and that sector wide surprise helped lift casino names even as the broader market softened. Wynn Macau (SEHK:1128) inched up 0.86%, drawing fresh attention to the stock.\nSee our latest analysis for Wynn Macau.\nAt a share price of HK$6.08, Wynn Macau’s recent 7 day share price return of 5.01% contrasts with a 90 day share price decline of 7.03%. Over 1 year, the total shareholder return of 24.76% sits against weaker 3 and 5 year total...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":["earning"],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"WYNN":"永利度假村"},"translate_title":"在澳门一月份博彩收入强劲意外后评估永利澳门（SEHK：1128）的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"WYNN":1.5},"content_text":"Macau’s January gross gaming revenue beat estimates, and that sector wide surprise helped lift casino names even as the broader market softened. Wynn Macau (SEHK:1128) inched up 0.86%, drawing fresh attention to the stock. See our latest analysis for Wynn Macau. At a share price of HK$6.08, Wynn Macau’s recent 7 day share price return of 5.01% contrasts with a 90 day share price decline of 7.03%. Over 1 year, the total shareholder return of 24.76% sits against weaker 3 and 5 year total shareholder returns, which suggests that momentum has picked up more recently after a tougher multi year stretch. If the Macau rebound has caught your eye and you want to see what else is moving, take a look at our screener of 105 top founder-led companies as a next step. With Wynn Macau trading at HK$6.08 and indicators like a value score of 5 and a reported intrinsic discount of about 40%, the key question is whether you are seeing a genuine opportunity or a market that is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementPrice-to-Earnings of 17.3x: Is it justified? Wynn Macau last closed at HK$6.08, and the stock is on a P/E of 17.3x, which sits slightly above the peer average of 15.2x but almost exactly in line with the Hong Kong hospitality sector at 17.3x. The P/E multiple tells you how much investors are currently paying for each dollar of earnings. For a casino resort operator like Wynn Macau it effectively reflects expectations around future visitor volumes, gaming activity, and operating efficiency. Our data flags a mixed picture. On one hand, the SWS DCF model indicates the shares are trading at about a 39.6% discount to an estimated future cash flow value of HK$10.06, and earnings are forecast to grow around 18% per year, compared with the wider Hong Kong market at 12.2%. On the other hand, reported earnings fell over the last year, net profit margins eased from 9.5% to 6.6%, interest cover is weak, the dividend yield of 6.09% is not well covered by earnings, and the company is carrying negative shareholder equity with 100% of liabilities funded through higher risk borrowing. Against the hospitality industry, Wynn Macau’s 17.3x P/E is effectively right on the sector average. This suggests the market is pricing the company broadly in line with its peers despite its stronger 1 year return versus the Hong Kong hospitality group and forecasts for faster earnings growth than the domestic market, while still factoring in the balance sheet and funding risks flagged in the data. Explore the SWS fair ratio for Wynn Macau Result: Price-to-Earnings of 17.3x (ABOUT RIGHT) However, the picture is still fragile, with negative 3- and 5-year total shareholder returns and a balance sheet fully funded by higher-risk borrowing both hanging over the story. Find out about the key risks to this Wynn Macau narrative. Another View: Cash Flows Point To Deeper Value The P/E of 17.3x suggests Wynn Macau is priced roughly in line with the hospitality sector, but our DCF model tells a different story. With the shares around HK$6.08 and an estimated future cash flow value of HK$10.06, the model implies the stock trades at about a 39.6% discount. If earnings forecasts play out, is the market being too cautious, or is the DCF being too generous? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. 1128 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Wynn Macau for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 237 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own Wynn Macau Narrative If you see the data differently, or simply prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build a personalised view of Wynn Macau in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Wynn Macau research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Wynn Macau has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. The real edge comes from comparing it with other ideas that fit your goals and risk comfort.  Spot potential mispricings by checking companies that screen as 237 high quality undervalued stocks, and see where current prices differ from underlying fundamentals. Strengthen your income playbook by reviewing businesses that qualify as 439 dividend fortresses, especially if consistent cash returns matter to you. Keep risk under control by scanning companies that pass our 332 resilient stocks with low risk scores, so you are not caught off guard by fragile balance sheets or volatile profiles.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Wynn Macau might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}