花旗经济学家写道，继1月份就业人数出人意料地强劲增长后，预计就业增长将不温不火。他们表示：“在我们的基本情境下，春季和夏季较为疲软的劳动力市场数据将促使美联储恢复降息。”

　　1月份就业人数增加130000人，高于55000人的平均预期。不过，这些经济学家写道，该实际数据低于花旗预测的135000人，花旗的预测“并非基于劳动力市场的根本性走强，而是由于‘残余季节性’“。他们预计美联储将在今年上半年按兵不动。此后，花旗预测将有三次降息，与市场定价一致。

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