全球顺周期指标同步走强,叠加财政、货币和监管政策在全球范围内宽松、AI投资扩大,摩根士丹利判断“周期可能在熄灭之前先烧得更旺”。目前关键的过热信号尚未出现,投资者需要密切监控通胀、债券波动率、美元、信贷与数据"良好"时,股票和信贷是否下跌等五大指标。尽管2026年初市场波动剧烈,从日本国债到科技股均大幅震荡,但表面之下,几乎所有与全球周期性前景相关的指标都在同步走强,这种罕见的一致性信号值得市场...
Source Link全球顺周期指标同步走强,叠加财政、货币和监管政策在全球范围内宽松、AI投资扩大,摩根士丹利判断“周期可能在熄灭之前先烧得更旺”。目前关键的过热信号尚未出现,投资者需要密切监控通胀、债券波动率、美元、信贷与数据"良好"时,股票和信贷是否下跌等五大指标。尽管2026年初市场波动剧烈,从日本国债到科技股均大幅震荡,但表面之下,几乎所有与全球周期性前景相关的指标都在同步走强,这种罕见的一致性信号值得市场...
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