GuocoLand (SGX:F17) Valuation After Half Year Earnings Lift Profitability And Fuel Strong Share Price Momentum

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Advertisement GuocoLand (SGX:F17) has drawn investor attention after reporting half year results to December 31, 2025, with sales of S$791.94 million, net income of S$85.41 million, and higher ...

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See our latest analysis for GuocoLand. The earnings announcement appears to have coincided with a sharp improvement in sentiment, with GuocoLand’s share price at S$2.69 and a 30 day share price return of 24.54% contributing to a 1 year total shareholder return of 93.12%. This suggests momentum has been building rather than fading. If GuocoLand’s move has you looking for other opportunities tied to real assets and long term themes, it could be worth checking our screener of 102 top founder-led companies as a fresh ideas list. With the share price surging and GuocoLand trading below analyst target prices, the key question now is whether the recent earnings strength still leaves upside on the table, or if the market is already pricing in future growth? Price-to-Earnings of 27.9x: Is it justified? GuocoLand is trading on a P/E of 27.9x, which positions the current S$2.69 share price at a premium compared with both peers and the broader Singapore real estate sector. The P/E ratio compares the share price to earnings per share and effectively shows how much investors are paying today for each dollar of earnings. For a property developer and asset owner like GuocoLand, a higher P/E can reflect expectations around future projects, asset recycling or earnings quality. It also means the market is placing a richer value on each unit of current profit. Against that backdrop, GuocoLand’s 27.9x P/E stands well above the Singapore real estate industry average of 18.5x and also above the peer group average of 14x, a clear valuation gap. The estimated fair P/E of 14.2x is also below the current level, suggesting a multiple that the market could potentially move towards if sentiment or earnings expectations shift. Explore the SWS fair ratio for GuocoLand Result: Price-to-Earnings of 27.9x (OVERVALUED) However, the annual revenue and net income growth rates are negative, and the current valuation premium means any earnings disappointment could quickly pressure sentiment. Find out about the key risks to this GuocoLand narrative. Another View: Cash Flows Point to a Different Story While the 27.9x P/E paints GuocoLand as expensive, our DCF model comes to a similar conclusion in a very different way, with a fair value estimate of S$1.67 versus the current S$2.69 share price. This implies the market price sits well above modeled future cash flows. That gap does not tell you which view is right. However, it does raise a simple question: are you comfortable paying this kind of premium if future cash flows and earnings do not line up more closely with today’s price? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. F17 Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out GuocoLand for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 231 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.  Build Your Own GuocoLand Narrative If you look at these numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to test your own view using the same data, you can build a custom GuocoLand story in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your GuocoLand research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If GuocoLand has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. The same data driven screener tools can help you spot other opportunities that fit your style.  Target value first opportunities by checking out 231 high quality undervalued stocks that combine solid fundamentals with prices that may not fully reflect them. Prioritise staying power by reviewing solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (383 results) that can help you focus on companies with stronger financial footing. Hunt for lesser known opportunities by scanning our screener containing 544 high quality undiscovered gems that many investors may not be watching yet.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}