Assessing Tidewater (TDW) Valuation After Black Bear Value Fund’s Buyback And Cash Flow Spotlight

Simply Wall St.

Feb 10

Interest in Tidewater (TDW) has picked up after Black Bear Value Fund’s fourth quarter 2025 letter spotlighted the company’s offshore support fleet, strong free cash flow, debt reduction, and a new $...

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See our latest analysis for Tidewater. The recent attention from Black Bear Value Fund comes against a backdrop of strong momentum, with a 19.66% 1 month share price return, a 29.45% year to date share price return, and a 5 year total shareholder return that is more than 5x. If Tidewater’s move has you thinking about other opportunities tied to long term energy infrastructure, you might want to scan our 24 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks as a starting list of potential ideas. With Tidewater trading at $67.61 against an analyst target of about $63.67, but with an intrinsic value estimate that implies roughly a 64% discount, the key question is whether there is still a buying opportunity here or whether the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 12.7% Overvalued Compared with Tidewater’s last close at $67.61, the most followed narrative pegs fair value at $60, which presents a cooler picture than recent share price strength.  Persistent vessel supply constraints and robust offshore project demand position Tidewater for higher utilization, stronger pricing, and sustained revenue and margin growth. Continued fleet modernization, operational discipline, and a strong balance sheet set the stage for opportunistic expansion and structurally higher profitability.  Read the complete narrative. Curious how that expected margin lift, modest revenue growth and a higher future earnings base still translate into an overvaluation call at today’s price? The full narrative pulls together these moving parts, including the implied earnings multiple and discount rate assumptions behind that $60 fair value. If you want to see exactly which forecasts need to land for this gap to close, the next section lays it all out. Result: Fair Value of $60 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there are still real watchpoints, including execution risk around acquisitions and the chance that weaker offshore activity leaves vessels underutilized and margins under pressure. Find out about the key risks to this Tidewater narrative. Another Take: Earnings Multiple Sends A Mixed Signal While the narrative and analyst work suggest Tidewater screens as overvalued around $67.61 versus a $60 fair value, its 22.1x P/E looks cheaper than both the US Energy Services industry at 24.6x and peers at 45.8x, yet richer than its own 18.3x fair ratio. Is that discount a cushion or a value trap if sentiment turns? See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NYSE:TDW P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026 Build Your Own Tidewater Narrative If you see the story differently or prefer to assess the numbers yourself, you can build a custom Tidewater view in minutes with Do it your way A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Tidewater. Looking for more investment ideas? If Tidewater has sharpened your focus on where to put fresh capital to work, do not stop here, the next idea you research could be the one you remember.  Hunt for quality on sale by scanning our 52 high quality undervalued stocks that blend strong fundamentals with prices that sit below their estimated worth. Lock in potential income streams by checking out 14 dividend fortresses that pair higher yields with a focus on resilience. Sleep easier at night by reviewing 82 resilient stocks with low risk scores with more measured risk profiles that can help balance a concentrated portfolio.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Tidewater might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. 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