Frontier Group Q4 revenue beats on constructive supply-demand environment

Reuters
Feb 11
Frontier Group Q4 revenue beats on constructive supply-demand environment

Overview

  • U.S. airline's Q4 operating revenue beat analyst expectations

  • Adjusted net income for Q4 beat analyst expectations

  • Company announced fleet adjustments and new routes to enhance competitive position

Outlook

  • Frontier expects Q1 2026 adjusted EPS between $(0.26) and $(0.44)

  • Frontier anticipates full-year 2026 EPS between $(0.40) and $0.50

  • Company expects 2026 capacity growth of ~10%

Result Drivers

  • SUPPLY-DEMAND ENVIRONMENT - Frontier benefited from a more constructive supply-demand environment, aiding Q4 results

  • FLEET ADJUSTMENTS - Early return of 24 A320neo aircraft and deferral of 69 A320neo deliveries to enhance productivity and cost savings

  • REVENUE MANAGEMENT - Revenue management initiatives supported Q4 results despite sector-wide impacts from government shutdown

Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Operating revenue

Beat

$997 mln

$973.56 mln (9 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

$0.23

Q4 Adjusted Net Income

Beat

$53 mln

$31.42 mln (8 Analysts)

Q4 Net Income

$53 mln

Q4 Adjusted Pretax Profit

Beat

$52 mln

$26.39 mln (8 Analysts)

Q4 Pretax Profit

$52 mln

Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 1 "strong buy" or "buy", 9 "hold" and 2 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the airlines peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Frontier Group Holdings Inc is $5.50, about 7.7% below its February 10 closing price of $5.96

Press Release: ID:nPn6cf9lra

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(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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