WARSAW, Feb 9 (Reuters) - The forint hit a fresh 26-month high on Monday and its Central Eastern European peers also gained as a weakening dollar boosted investor risk appetite for emerging market assets.
Hungarian forint EURHUF= firmed 0.2% against the euro to 377.15 by 0939 GMT, after hitting its strongest level since November 2023, at 377, in early trading.
"The dollar's weakness is helping the region, and the high interest rate is making the forint attractive, even if there will be a rate cut," a Budapest-based trader said, adding that there was very little activity in the market.
"Actually I think one rate cut is already priced in."
Hungary's statistics office is set to publish January consumer price inflation data on Thursday, with economists expecting a nearly one percentage point drop from December in annual terms.
The National Bank of Hungary monetary policy meeting is scheduled for late February.
In Poland, the zloty EURPLN= gained 0.1% to 4.2110 per euro, which analysts attributed to improved investor risk appetite, signalled by the weaker dollar.
"The zloty opened today's trading on a strong note," ING Bank Slaski analysts wrote in a note.
"Later in the week, we expect the EUR/PLN exchange rate to move to 4.19, which is justified by the technical situation. In the second half of the week, investors' attention will shift towards domestic macroeconomic data."
Poland's statistics office is scheduled to release fourth quarter gross domestic product data on Thursday and a flash consumer price inflation estimate on Friday.
"However, we do not believe these publications will significantly impact the consensus regarding the March decision of the Monetary Policy Council $(MPC)$. The market unanimously assumes that the Council will resume interest rate cuts next month," the analysts added.
On the stocks front, Polish parcel locker firm InPost INPST.AS jumped 14% after a consortium led by FedEx FDX.N and InPost investors agreed to buy out InPost in a 7.8 billion euro ($9.2 billion) deal.
Elsewhere, the Czech crown EURCZK= eased 0.05% against the euro to 24.2270, pulling back slightly after it firmed to 24.2120, its strongest level since early January, in early trading.
The crown had gained over the past two sessions, rebounding from a seven-week low hit last week before a central bank meeting where some bet on a dovish tilt by policymakers.
While the bank discussed a rate cut at the meeting last Thursday, it held rates unchanged for a sixth meeting in a row, helping the crown recover some ground.
CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1039 CET | |||||
CURRENCIES | Latest trade | Previous close | Daily change | Change in 2025 | |
Czech crown | EURCZK= | 24.2270 | 24.2150 | -0.05% | -0.25% |
Hungary forint | EURHUF= | 377.1500 | 378.0500 | +0.24% | +1.91% |
Polish zloty | EURPLN= | 4.2110 | 4.2165 | +0.13% | +0.11% |
Romanian leu | EURRON= | 5.0928 | 5.0920 | -0.02% | +0.03% |
Serbian dinar | EURRSD= | 117.2800 | 117.3800 | +0.09% | +0.02% |
Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET | |||||
STOCKS | Latest | Previous close | Daily change | Change in 2025 | |
Prague | .PX | 2782.83 | 2759.4000 | +0.85% | +3.62% |
Budapest | .BUX | 130383.39 | 130030.34 | +0.27% | +17.43% |
Warsaw | .WIG20 | 3418.06 | 3392.41 | +0.76% | +7.35% |
Bucharest | .BETI | 27311.11 | 27247.30 | +0.23% | +11.75% |
BONDS | Yield (bid) | Yield change | Spread vs Bund | Daily change in spread | |
Czech Rep 2-year | CZ2YT=RR | 3.4440 | 0.0940 | +137bps | +9bps |
Czech Rep 5-year | CZ5YT=RR | 3.7810 | 0.0300 | +136bps | +3bps |
Czech Rep 10-year | CZ10YT=RR | 4.4500 | 0.0320 | +159bps | +2bps |
Poland 2-year | PL2YT=RR | 3.5170 | -0.0940 | +145bps | -10bps |
Poland 5-year | PL5YT=RR | 4.3890 | -0.0390 | +196bps | -4bps |
Poland 10-year | PL10YT=RR | 5.1070 | -0.0030 | +225bps | -1bps |
FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS | 3x6 | 6x9 | 9x12 | 3M interbank | |
Czech Rep | CZKFRA, PRIBOR= | 3.46 | 3.38 | 3.34 | 3.48 |
Poland | PLNFRA, WIBOR= | 3.52 | 3.42 | 3.41 | 3.88 |
Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices | |||||
(Reporting by Karol Badohal in Warsaw, Anita Komuves in Budapest and Jason Hovet in Prague; editing by Ros Russell)
((karl.badohal@thomsonreuters.com;))