和讯投顾朱一鸣:双创指数及科技股继续下跌,高股息板块则轮流表现

中金财经
Feb 12

  2月12日,和讯投顾朱一鸣称,指数已收盘,两市成交量不到2万亿,与昨日相比大幅缩量,且昨日诸多判断在今日盘面得到印证。   盘面上,双创指数及科技股继续下跌,高股息板块则轮流表现,资源类、能源类、港口、煤炭、船舶、农业等均有不同程度上涨。按指数涨跌幅看,上证指数上涨,但双创指数跌幅约1%,昨日传媒类股票今日或大跌低开,或直接跌停。   由此印证了节前科技股难有大机会的判断。若谈节前机会,应聚焦权重高股息板块,如船舶、煤炭、有色、贵金属、港口航运及农业等。原因在于,今日是节前倒数第三个交易日,仅剩两个交易日行情便结束,最后两天散户交易活跃度会进一步下降,且持股过节者大概率不会选择煤炭等品种,目前多数人仍关注科技股,即便近期科技股大跌,部分人意识到问题,但大多数人仍聚焦于此。这意味着“涨指数跌个股”的态势可能维持到节前最后一天,甚至节后一段时间。   这种“涨指数跌个股”的行情自1月中旬开始,已持续近一个月。若投资者不及时调整策略,关注高股息方向,节前乃至节后都可能面临较大压力。朱一鸣认为,年前高股息板块或有一波不错的红包行情,年后也可能存在机会,建议投资者务必重视。   

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