比推消息， 加密市场空头情绪占据主导，比特币与以太坊延续跌势。过去 24 小时，比特币下跌约 2.4%至约 66,900 美元，以太坊下跌约 2.7%跌破 2,000 美元关口。宏观方面，美元走弱、美债收益率下行，市场对美联储降息预期升温，Polymarket 市场显示 3 月降息概率由月初 7%升至约 19%，Kalshi 市场约为 21%。衍生品市场方面，BTC 期货未平仓合约降至 156 亿美元，显示去杠杆趋势延续，资金费率进一步转负（币安约-6%，Bybit 约-0.5%），三个月基差收窄至 1.6%，反映机构风险偏好快速降温。（CoinDesk）
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