BTIG警告:AI分化已达“不可持续”极端,半导体若倒下大盘将无险可守

智通财经
Feb 13

智通财经APP获悉,BTIG 首席市场技术策略师乔纳森·克林斯基(Jonathan Krinsky)表示,人工智能相关股票的剧烈波动正造成极端的市场分化,这种分化可能正达到不可持续的水平。

在一份报告中,克林斯基着重剖析了赢家与输家之间的鲜明对比:世邦魏理仕(CBRE.US)股价在两天内自历史高位暴跌24%,创下自金融危机以来的最大单周跌幅;而数据中心房地产投资信托基金易昆尼克斯(EQIX.US)则在单个交易日内飙升11%,成就了近十年来的最佳单日表现之一。

这位 BTIG 策略师警告称,尽管这种波动在很大程度上仍藏于水面之下,尚未对主要指数造成显著影响,但这种情况可能很快就会改变。

"然而,到了某个时点,我们开始担忧弱势会压倒强势,大盘将变得脆弱,"他表示。

克林斯基指出,标普500指数仍在7000点水平挣扎,而2月下半月通常代表季节性较弱时期,鉴于个股层面的错位,接下来几周可能颇具挑战。

软件板块是尤为令人担忧的领域,这位策略师指出。克林斯基进一步解释道:“软件板块确实需要守住近期低点。”他强调,尽管该板块上周已出现“投降式抛售”特征,但若跌破近期低点,则意味着更深度的下跌行情正在酝酿。

或许最为关键的是,这位 BTIG 技术分析师警告称,在其他领域动荡不安之际,半导体板块必须继续挑起大梁。

"鉴于软件股及其他各类个股的大幅下挫,市场确实需要半导体板块继续挑起重担,"他表示。克林斯基警告称,如果半导体板块也随其他板块一同走软,"指数很可能将无法企稳。"

软件类 ETF:

INVESCO AI AND NEXT GEN SOFTWARE ETF (IGPT.US)

SPDR S&P SOFTWARE & SERVICES ETF (XSW.US)

ISHARES EXPANDED TECH-SOFTWARE SECTOR ETF (IGV.US)

云计算 ETF:

FIRST TRUST CLOUD COMPUTING ETF (SKYY.US)

WISDOMTREE CLOUD COMPUTING FUND (WCLD.US)

GLOBAL X CLOUD COMPUTING ETF (CLOU.US)

FIDELITY CLOUD COMPUTING ETF (FCLD.US)

PROSHARES ULTRA NASDAQ CLOUD COMPUTING ETF (SKYU.US)

PROSHARES SHORT NASDAQ CLOUD COMPUTING ETF (CLOD.US)

半导体 ETF:

VANECK SEMICONDUCTOR ETF (SMH.US)

ISHARES SEMICONDUCTOR ETF (SOXX.US)

DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDUCTORS BULL 3X SHARES (SOXL.US)

INVESCO SEMICONDUCTOR ETF (PSI.US)

PROSHARES ULTRA SEMICONDUCTORS (USD.US)

PROSHARES SHORT SEMICONDUCTORS (SSG.US)

人工智能/机器人技术 ETF:

GLOBAL X ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE & TECHNOLOGY ETF (AIQ.US)

GLOBAL X ROBOTICS & ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE ETF (BOTZ.US)

ALPS DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES ETF (DTEC.US)

WISDOMTREE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND INNOVATION ETF (WTAI.US)

XTRACKERS ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE & BIG DATA ETF (XAIX.US)

WISDOMTREE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE UCITS ETF (WISE.US)

GOLDMAN SACHS INNOVATIVE EQUITY ETF (GINN.US)

FIRST TRUST NASDAQ ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND ROBOTICS ETF (ROBT.US)

TIAA-CREF QUANT TECH LEADERS ETF (TECB.US)

ISHARES EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES ETF (XT.US)

ROBO GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE ETF (THNQ.US)

ROUNDHILL GENERATIVE AI & TECHNOLOGY ETF (CHAT.US)

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