日元势将创下2024年11月以来的最大单周涨幅，市场乐观预期日本首相高市早苗的胜选将使她能够在维持金融市场信任的同时扩大财政刺激规模。

　　日元兑美元汇率已连续四个交易日走强，本周迄今上涨约2.8%。风险资产跌势加深，避险需求也支撑了日元汇率。

　　日本外汇事务最高官员三村淳表示，尽管日元本周走强，但政府仍对汇率走势保持高度警惕。围绕政府可能出手支撑日元的不安情绪，也限制了日元下行。

　　隔夜指数掉期显示，日本央行4月加息的可能性约为78%。投资者将密切关注日本央行官员Naoki Tamura周五的讲话以及美国CPI数据，以帮助判断美日利差和日元走势。

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