据追风交易台消息，摩根士丹利美国利率策略团队2月13日发布研报显示，市场风向标已经改变。面对日益膨胀的AI投资热潮和高企的市场估值，投资者正在从风险资产中撤退，转而买入美国国债进行避险。
在报告中，摩根士丹利虽然将2026年美国实际GDP增长预期从2.4%上调至2.6%，理由是“超大规模云厂商”(hyperscaler)的资本开支将推动增长，但其经济学家团队同时发出了严厉的风险预警。大摩认为，“AI相关的资本开支周期越是推动经济活动增长，如果投资回报最终未能实现，那么过度投资周期带来的风险就越大。”因此，投资者对AI投资周期的负面溢出效应(externalities)变得越来越敏感，不再盲目追逐高估值。
美股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>>
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.