US Could Soon Enter A 'Debt Spiral', Exceeding Post-World War II Debt-To-GDP Record By 2030, Watchdog Says

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Feb 15

The U.S. is approaching a critical fiscal point as its federal debt is projected to surpass historical levels, raising alarms about the country’s economic stability. The U.S. federal debt is on track ...

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This spiral could pose a national security crisis, warns CBO.","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"benzinga.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"POST":"Post Holdings","BK4212":"包装食品与肉类"},"translate_title":"监管机构表示，美国可能很快就会进入“债务螺旋”，到2030年将超过二战后债务占GDP的记录","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"POST":1.5},"content_text":"The U.S. is approaching a critical fiscal point as its federal debt is projected to surpass historical levels, raising alarms about the country’s economic stability.\nThe U.S. federal debt is on track to surpass a significant milestone, with projections indicating a troubling fiscal future. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) reports that publicly held debt stands at $31 trillion, equating to roughly 100% of the nation’s GDP.\nBy 2030, the debt is expected to exceed the post-World War II record of 106% and could reach 120% by 2036. This increase is driven by rising annual interest costs, which are projected to more than double to $2.1 trillion by 2036, further straining federal budgets and increasing deficits.\n\"CBO's latest baseline shows an unsustainable fiscal outlook, with debt approaching record levels, deficits remaining elevated at more than twice a reasonable target, and interest costs exploding,\" the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget said in a note on Wednesday.\n\"Later in the decade, under CBO's baseline, the average interest rate on all federal debt will exceed nominal economic growth, which could represent the start of a debt spiral.\"\nThe Treasury Department is experiencing higher bond yields, influenced by previous Federal Reserve rate hikes and concerns over the U.S.’s global financial reliability. The average interest rate on federal debt is currently 3.316% and is expected to rise to 3.9% by 2036.\nThe Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget warns of an unsustainable fiscal path, with debt potentially reaching 131% of GDP by 2036 if certain tariffs are deemed illegal. This scenario could lead to a debt spiral and a heightened risk of fiscal crisis.\nAdditionally, the impact of President Donald Trump’s tariffs has been a double-edged sword. While they have driven the S&P 500 and Dow to record highs, they also risk increasing household costs by $1,300 annually.\nDespite these challenges, the U.S. economy showed signs of strength, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model predicting a strong 5.4% GDP growth in Q4 2025, marking the strongest quarterly growth since 1984.\nDisclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.\nPhoto courtesy: Shutterstock\nTo add Benzinga News as your preferred source on Google, click here.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}