瑞银:微降百威亚太(01876)目标价至8.6港元 料中国销量复苏放缓

智通财经
Feb 16

智通财经APP获悉,瑞银发布研报称,微降百威亚太(01876)目标价由8.75港元至8.6港元,维持“买入”评级。百威亚太2025年收入及正常化EBITDA分别同比跌6.1%及9.8%,至57.64亿美元及15.88亿美元,逊于市场预期。由此推算,2025年第四季收入及正常化EBITDA分别同比跌4.2%及24.7%,至10.73亿美元及1.67亿美元。



百威全年正常化EBITDA利润率同比收缩1.4个百分点,主要因毛利率下跌和销售、一般及行政开支(SG&A)比率上升。期内净利润为4.89亿美元,受一项与韩国海关审计申索及税项相关的非经常性项目影响,该行认为是一次性因素。 

 该行将百威2026至2028年收入预测上调2%至3%,主要反映人民币汇率预期升值,不过料中国市场销量复苏步伐放缓,或推迟至2026年下半年。同时,该行调低2026至2028年EBITDA预测6%至7%,以反映营运去杠杆及商业投资增加,令EBITDA利润率下调2.5至2.8个百分点。

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