Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) Quarterly Profit Return Tests Bullish Turnaround Narrative

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Feb 14

Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) has reported a stronger quarterly result for Q2 2026, with revenue of US$102.4 million and basic EPS of US$0.014, supported by net income excluding extra items of US$6.3 ...

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The company’s revenue has increased from US$33.5 million and basic EPS of roughly US$0.001 in Q2 2025 to US$102.4 million and EPS of US$0.014 in Q2 2026. However, trailing 12 month figures still show a net loss of US$39.2 million on revenue of US$238.8 million and basic EPS of US$0.107. For...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK7509":"中概股","BLSG":"2倍做多BLSH ETF-Leverage Shares","BK4112":"金融交易所和数据","BLSX":"Tradr 2X Long BLSH Daily ETF","PDN.AU":"PALADIN ENERGY LTD","BK7083":"煤与消费用燃料"},"translate_title":"Paladin Energy(ASX：PDN)季度利润回报测试看涨的扭亏为盈叙事","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"BLSX":0.6,"BLSG":0.6,"PDN.AU":1.98},"content_text":"Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) has reported a stronger quarterly result for Q2 2026, with revenue of US$102.4 million and basic EPS of US$0.014, supported by net income excluding extra items of US$6.3 million. The company’s revenue has increased from US$33.5 million and basic EPS of roughly US$0.001 in Q2 2025 to US$102.4 million and EPS of US$0.014 in Q2 2026. However, trailing 12 month figures still show a net loss of US$39.2 million on revenue of US$238.8 million and basic EPS of US$0.107. For investors, this combination of quarterly profitability and a loss-making 12 month run rate makes earnings quality and margin trends key themes to monitor from this result. See our full analysis for Paladin Energy. With the headline numbers reported, the next step is to assess how this earnings profile aligns with the widely held growth and risk narratives around Paladin Energy and to consider where those narratives might need updating. See what the community is saying about Paladin Energy ASX:PDN Earnings & Revenue History as at Feb 2026 AdvertisementLTM loss of US$39.2 million keeps profit picture mixed  On a trailing 12 month basis, Paladin has generated US$238.8 million of revenue but still reported a net loss of US$39.2 million and basic EPS of US$0.107, even though Q2 2026 itself showed net income of US$6.3 million. Consensus narrative talks about revenue growing around 43% per year and margins moving from roughly a 25.1% loss to 33.7% profit, and this latest quarter raises a few questions:\n     The swing from quarterly losses in 2025 to a Q2 2026 profit lines up with the idea of improving operations. However, the LTM loss shows that profitability over a full year is not in place yet. Analysts expect earnings of about US$175.2 million by 2028, which is a big shift from the current US$39.2 million LTM loss. You may want to check how confident you feel about that kind of turnaround path.    Revenue more than doubles vs Q1, testing the bullish story  Quarterly revenue moved from US$35.97 million in Q1 2026 to US$102.38 million in Q2 2026, with net income excluding extra items turning from a US$5.40 million loss to a US$6.27 million profit over the same periods. Bulls expect strong operations and contracting to drive rapid growth, and this set of numbers partly backs that up but also leaves gaps:\n     Support for the bullish view comes from the clear ramp in revenues and the shift from repeated quarterly losses in 2025 to a profit in Q2 2026. This matches the idea of ramp up at key assets feeding through to the income statement. At the same time, the LTM loss of US$39.2 million means the business is not yet delivering the kind of steady profitability that bullish expectations of higher margins and large 2028 earnings figures are built on, so the trend still needs to hold over more quarters.    Have a closer look at how recent operational gains stack up against the optimistic long term story many bulls are using. 🐂 Paladin Energy Bull Case Premium valuation against DCF and P/S worries bears  Paladin trades at A$11.68 versus a DCF fair value estimate of A$0.47 and on a P/S ratio of 15.5x compared with 9.1x for the broader Australian Oil & Gas industry and 3.4x for peers. Bears focus on the risk that expectations have run ahead of fundamentals, and the data here gives them several points to work with:\n     The large gap between the current share price and the DCF fair value highlights how much optimism is already built into the stock compared with a model tied to current cash flow assumptions. The higher P/S multiple relative to industry and peer numbers sits alongside an LTM net loss. This is exactly the mix critics point to when they argue that even if revenue keeps growing, any stumble in the earnings path could matter more for a company on this kind of valuation footing.    If you are weighing whether that rich pricing leaves enough room for error, it helps to see how skeptics are framing the downside case. 🐻 Paladin Energy Bear Case  Next Steps To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Paladin Energy on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves. See the numbers differently? Take a couple of minutes to test your own view against the data and turn it into a clear narrative: Do it your way A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward investors are optimistic about regarding Paladin Energy. See What Else Is Out There Paladin Energy is still carrying a trailing 12 month loss of US$39.2 million and trades on rich valuation multiples against its peers and DCF estimate. If that mix of ongoing losses and premium pricing feels like a lot of risk to shoulder, you might want to check out 5 resilient stocks with low risk scores that aim to pair more measured valuations with steadier financial profiles right now.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}