光大证券:金价高位争持有望向上 暂稳守50天线水平

智通财经网
Feb 13

智通财经APP获悉,光大证券发布研报称,去年8月以来,金价几次小幅回调后,仍然能稳守于50天线上方。该行认为,现货黄金在每盎司4402美元水平见支持,而且在过去两个星期以来,现货金价技术形态呈现向上的超势,这轮反弹高位约每盎司5092美元,短线需留意金价会否向上突破该水平,若能成功突破每盎司5092美元,该行将会再次为2026年黄金价格定下全年目标。

报告中称,美国非农就业职位创逾1年最大增长·1月非农就业职位增加13万个,远超市场预期;失业率则意外降至4.3%·市场塬本预期为4.4%。尽管非农数据显示美国就业市场强劲·但联储局理事米兰仍强调,联储局仍有诸多理由支持减息,但堪萨斯城联储银行行长施密德对过高的通服表示担忧,并称联邦基金利率应维持在“适度限制性”水平。克利夫兰联储银行总裁哈马克(BethHammack)表示,联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)可能需要相当长一段时期内维持利率不变。交易员随即下调对局方今年开始减息的预期,消息令美汇指数在96.9水平徘徊整固。

另外,现货金价于1月底冲高至每盎司5595.46美元,已达该行上半年目标价每盎司4950美元,之后由于金价升势过急,现货金价3个交易日大幅回吐·盘中一度低见每盎司4402.97美元,之后出现技术性反弹,执笔之时正于每盎司5061美元上落整固·从技术走势上,现货黄金日线图在50天线有一个强力支持位。

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