小摩:百威亚太(01876)中国业务拖累季度业绩 维持“中性”评级

智通财经
Feb 13

智通财经APP获悉,摩根大通发布研报称,百威亚太(01876)2025年第四季EBITDA同比下降25%,较市场共识低12%,销售额同比下降4%。百威中国为主要拖累,销售额及EBITDA同比分别下降11%及42%,主因促销活动增加及显著的去杠杆效应。摩通对百威亚太维持“中性”评级,目标价为7.9港元。

百威韩国2025年第四季销售额及EBITDA同比分别下降1%及6%,表现优于行业增长,与韩国政府的税务纠纷导致集团盈利带来一次性4,900万美元的拖累。正面因素方面,百威中国自2025年第四季起销量势头已见改善,目标于2026财年透过加大对在家饮用分销能力的投资以“重燃增长”。该行预测集团2026年销售额及EBITDA将同比增长3.4%及5.4%。

百威已宣布派发2025财年股息7.5亿美元,派息比率150%,股息率股息率为5.7厘,并将在4月新任财务总监上任后检讨股息政策。该行认为百威很可能维持现行政策,即每年维持或增加每股派息,这意味着按当前19倍2026年预测市盈率计算,2026年预测股息率为5.7厘。

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